San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals Free Pick

Posts AdminArticles, Baseball, MLB

The San Diego Padres are ready to do battle against the Washington Nationals in a Saturday matinee. Fox Sports San Diego is in line to televise this NL matchup. The game is scheduled to get going at 4:05 p.m. ET.

San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals Odds

San Diego (+160) is coming into this one as the underdog against Washington (-170) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this one at 8 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total now sit at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at Padres +1.5 runs (-135) and Nationals -1.5 runs (+115).

The Nationals are 11-13 straight up (SU) and 10-13 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 5.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 4.3 units ATS. Washington has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Padres are 15-11 SU and have gone 10-15 against the spread. In total, the team’s accumulated 1.0 unit for moneyline gamblers over the early portions of the season, but have lost 5.0 units ATS. San Diego’s covered the spread just once in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

Nationals games have an over/under record of 14-9 so far in 2019. San Diego has an over/under record of 10-14-1.

The left-handed Eric Lauer will get the start for the visiting Padres. Lauer (2-3, 4.67 ERA) has recorded 23 punchouts in 27 innings so far. He has yet to face the Nationals this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-0, 1.50 ERA and seven strikeouts across six innings).

The Nationals are countering with Stephen Strasburg (2-1, 4.11 ERA). Strasburg has 39 punchouts and nine walks, along with a WHIP of 1.08. Strasburg only made one start against the Padres in 2018 (1-0, 3.86 ERA and five strikeouts across seven innings).

As a unit, Washington’s pitchers have given up 5.1 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.06, a WHIP of 1.24 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.0. The bullpen has a 6.99 ERA, 1.63 WHIP and 9.2 K/9.

Washington’s hitters have produced 5.3 runs per outing, including 4.5 per game over its last 10 games and 4.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .251/.316/.427 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Outfielder Adam Eaton and third baseman Anthony Rendon have led the Nationals’ hitters this year. Eaton is slashing .310/.373/.400 with 31 hits, six RBIs and 17 runs scored, while Rendon’s line is .356/.442/.740 with six homers, 18 RBIs and 21 runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, San Diego’s pitching staff allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starters own a 3.39 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 8.54 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.88, along with a WHIP of 1.10.

Padres hitters have slashed .220/.283/.406 on their way to 3.4 runs scored per game this year, including 2.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

San Diego’s offensive production has been sparked by shortstop Fernando Tatis Jr. and outfielder Wil Myers, who collectively have blasted 11 home runs. Tatis Jr. is slashing .286/.347/.560 with six home runs, 13 RBIs, 12 runs and five stolen bases. Myers (.284/.323/.511) has produced five homers, 11 RBIs and 12 runs scored.

The Padres have lost 1.9 units and are 6-14 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in eight of those games, as opposed to 11 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Nationals have lost 2.5 units and are 1-3 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s cashed in two of those games, compared to two that went under the total.

Padres at Nationals Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • The under has hit in five of San Diego’s last seven games.
  • The Padres have a team OPS of .689 this season and an OPS of .667 against right-handed pitchers. The Nationals’ OPS sits at .788 overall and .766 against righties.
  • The Nationals have dropped three of their last four games SU.
  • Washington has recorded 21.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.0 over its last five.
  • Each team has hit 14 home runs over its last 10 games.