The San Diego Padres will be facing off against their divisional foe Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. Fox Sports Arizona will be televising the matchup and the game will get going at 10:10 p.m. ET.
San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks Odds
Vegas has listed San Diego (+160) as the underdog to Arizona (-170). The total is sitting at 7.5 runs and gamblers can take the over for -115 or the under for -105. Bettors can also wager on the games spread with the runline odds coming in at Padres +1.5 runs (-135) and Diamondbacks -1.5 runs (+115).
The Padres are just 38-52 SU and are 42-47 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 4.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 20.4 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread just once over its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. The Diamondbacks, on the other hand, are 49-40 SU and 45-43 ATS. They’ve gained 5.8 units for moneyline bettors and 6.0 units ATS. Arizona has covered the spread only once in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven.
Arizona games have a 42-41-5 over/under record so far in 2018. The Padres have been a decent under bet with a total record of 40-46-3.
Tyson Ross is getting the nod for the visiting Padres. The right-handed Ross is 5-6 with a 3.78 ERA and 90 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with 10 strikeouts and a 1.17 ERA against Arizona this year.
The Diamondbacks will send lefty Robbie Ray (3-1, 4.89 ERA) to the mound. Ray has 58 strikeouts and 20 walks to his name, as well as a 1.45 WHIP. Ray has yet to face the Padres this year, but he made four starts against them in 2017, compiling a perfect 3-0 record with a 2.92 ERA and 35 strikeouts.
San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.59 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 7.66 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.53, along with a WHIP of 1.43 and a K-per-9 of 9.50.
Padres hitters have slashed .234/.299/.366 on their way to 3.7 runs scored per game this year, including 3.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over the teams last five outings (1-4 SU).
San Diego’s offensive production has been sparked by first baseman Eric Hosmer and left fielder Jose Pirela. Hosmer is hitting .261/.335/.412 with nine home runs, 37 RBIs and 38 runs scored. Pirela (.260/.310/.348) has produced two homers, 25 RBIs and 43 runs scored.
For the home team, Arizona’s pitchers have given up 3.8 runs per game overall in 2018. The clubs starters have an ERA of 4.05, a WHIP of 1.26 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.1. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.54, a WHIP of 1.15 and a K/9 of 7.8. In 35 games against divisional foes, Diamondbacks starters have an ERA of 3.94 and the bullpens ERA is 3.01.
Arizona’s offense is putting up 4.3 runs per outing, including 4.7 per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .247/.330/.333 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
First baseman Paul Goldschmidt and left fielder David Peralta have led the Diamondbacks offense this year. Goldschmidt is hitting .273/.381/.528 with 19 home runs, 48 RBIs and 58 runs scored, and Peralta’s line is .282/.347/.500 with 15 homers, 46 RBIs and 38 runs.
The Padres have lost 7.5 units and are 9-18 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 14 of those games, as opposed to 13 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have lost 0.6 units and are 30-28 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The overs hit in 28 of those games, as opposed to 28 that’ve cashed the under.
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – UNDER
- The over has cashed in four of Arizona’s last seven games.
- San Diego has recorded 18.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 18.4 over its last five.
- The Padres have hit six home runs in their last 10 games. The Diamondbacks have hit four over their last 10.