San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview

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The Los Angeles Dodgers will go for their fourth consecutive victory as they play host to the San Diego Padres at Dodger Stadium. Fox Sports San Diego will broadcast the matchup and the game gets going at 10:10 p.m. ET.

San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers Odds

San Diego (+175) is coming into this one as the underdog to Los Angeles (-185) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this game at 7 runs (-105 for the under and -115 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the games runline with the current odds sitting at Padres +1.5 runs (-125) and Dodgers -1.5 runs (+105).

The Dodgers are 23-27 SU and 19-30 ATS. They’ve lost 22.8 units for moneyline bettors and 12.7 units against the spread (ATS). Los Angeles has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. On the other hand, the Padres are 21-31 SU and have gone 26-25 ATS. Overall, the teams lost 3.1 units for moneyline bettors and 6.3 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

Los Angeles games have had an over/under record of 24-24-1 so far in 2018. Padres games have gone under 26 times, gone over 23 times and pushed on two occasions.

Jordan Lyles will get the nod for San Diego. The right-handed Lyles is 1-1 with a 3.11 ERA and 36 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA against Los Angeles this year.

The Dodgers are putting the ball in the left hand of Alex Wood (1-4, 3.32 ERA), who has 51 strikeouts and nine walks as well as a 1.02 WHIP. Wood is 0-0 with seven strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA across one starts against San Diego this year.

Los Angeles pitching staff has given up 3.9 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starters have a 3.21 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 10.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.11 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 9.5 K/9. In 32 games against divisional opponents, Dodgers starters have an ERA of 3.16 and the bullpens ERA is 3.90.

The Los Angeles offense is putting up 4.3 runs per outing, including 4.5 per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over its last five. The teams hit .185/.283/.404 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

The Dodgers batters have been led by outfielders Matt Kemp and Chris Taylor. Kemp is hitting .338/.370/.536 with six home runs, 25 RBIs and 16 runs scored, while Taylor is batting .237 with six homers, 18 RBIs and 33 runs scored.

Taylor didn’t seem to enjoy batting against righty pitching at home last year, slashing .236/.295/.416 across 193 such plate appearances (his total season line was .288/.354/.496).

In the other dugout, San Diego’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.85 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 8.32 K/9. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.14, along with a K-per-9 of 9.42.

Padres hitters have slashed .227/.294/.361 on their way to 3.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over the teams last five contests (2-3 SU).

San Diego’s offensive production been led by left fielder Jose Pirela and first baseman Eric Hosmer. Pirela is slashing .270/.327/.355 with 54 hits, 16 RBIs and 28 runs scored, while Hosmer (.268/.362/.464) has produced 49 hits, six homers, 20 RBIs and 25 runs scored.

Pirela seemed to enjoy hitting left-handed pitchers on the road in 2017. Over 44 such plate appearances, he put up a slash line of .300/.364/.575 (compared to his total season line of .288/.347/.490).

The Padres have lost 1.3 units and are 6-10 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in nine of those games, compared to seven that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Dodgers have lost 20.3 units and are 11-21 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The overs hit in 21 of those games, compared to 11 that’ve gone under.

San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The Padres have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games. The Dodgers have hit 14 over their last 10.
  • San Diego has recorded 18.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 16.6 over its last five.
  • The Dodgers have won seven of their last eight games SU.