The Los Angeles Dodgers will play host to their division rival San Diego Padres at Dodger Stadium. Spectrum SportsNet LA is in line to televise the matchup. The first pitch will be at 10:10 p.m. ET.
San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers Odds
San Diego (+150) is entering this one as the underdog to Los Angeles (-160) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at 7.5 runs (+110 for the over and -130 for the under). Runline odds stand at -145 for taking the Padres +1.5 runs and +125 for the Dodgers -1.5.
The Padres are 22-19 SU and have gone 20-21 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 2.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline in this young season, despite having lost 3.6 units ATS. San Diego’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Dodgers, on the other hand, are 27-16 SU and 18-25 ATS. The team’s gained 5.7 units for moneyline bettors while earning 4.5 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.
Los Angeles games have an over/under record of 21-20-2 so far in 2019. San Diego has an over/under record of 18-21-2.
Right-hander Chris Paddack is the projected starter for the visiting Padres. Paddack is 3-1 with a 1.55 ERA and 46 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Dodgers this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Dodgers are countering with Clayton Kershaw (2-0, 3.31 ERA). Kershaw has 31 strikeouts and six walks, along with a WHIP of 0.98. Kershaw is 0-0 with six strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA in one start against San Diego this year.
As a unit, Los Angeles’ pitching staff has allowed 4.0 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starters have a 3.24 ERA, 1.05 WHIP and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.43 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.1 K/9. In 16 games against divisional foes, Dodgers starters have an ERA of 3.40 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.64.
The Los Angeles offense is putting up 5.3 runs per outing, including 7.1 per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .231/.337/.423 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.
First baseman Cody Bellinger and third baseman Justin Turner have led the Dodgers’ hitters so far. Bellinger is slashing .407/.486/.772 with 14 home runs, 38 RBIs, 37 runs and seven stolen bases, while Turner is hitting .299 with six homers, 21 RBIs and 21 runs.
For the visitors, San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 3.75 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 8.20 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.39, along with a K/9 of 10.79.
Padres hitters have slashed .232/.292/.415 on their way to 4.0 runs scored per game this year, including 3.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
First baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Manny Machado have led San Diego’s offense. Hosmer is hitting .269/.315/.442 with six home runs, 24 RBIs and 21 runs scored, while Machado is hitting .252/.325/.437 with eight homers, 21 RBIs and 22 runs scored.
The Padres have lost 0.1 units and are 6-2 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in three of those games, as opposed to five that’ve hit the under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Dodgers have netted 7.3 units and are 14-14 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 11 of those games, as opposed to 15 which went under the total.
Padres vs. Dodgers MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The under has hit in three of Los Angeles’ last seven games.
- Both teams have hit 16 home runs over their last 10 outings.
- The Padres have an OPS of .706 this season and an OPS of .732 against left-handed pitchers. The Dodgers’ OPS stands at .804 overall and .766 against southpaws.
- Los Angeles has posted 22.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 18.8 over its last five.
