San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies Betting Preview

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The San Diego Padres are set to take the field against the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field in the 0 game of a NL West doubleheader. The first pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET and the matchup will be shown on ATRM and FSSD.

San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies Odds

Colorado (-130) is hosting this one as the favorite over San Diego (+120) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 10.5 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at Padres +1.5 runs (-175) and Rockies -1.5 runs (+155).

The Padres have gone 21-18 SU this year and are 19-19 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 3.5 units for moneyline bettors in this young season, despite having lost 1.2 units ATS. San Diego’s covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Rockies, on the other hand, are 18-20 SU and 17-20 ATS. They’ve lost 3.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 4.8 units ATS. Colorado has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in all seven of them.

Colorado games have an over/under record of 19-16-2 so far in 2019. The Padres have an over/under record of 16-20-2.

Southpaw Joey Lucchesi is projected to start for the visiting Padres. Lucchesi (3-2, 5.00 ERA) has recorded 36 strikeouts in 36 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with four strikeouts and a 6.43 ERA against Colorado this year.

The Rockies are turning to righty Jon Gray (3-3, 4.22 ERA), who has 43 strikeouts and 18 walks, along with a 1.31 WHIP. Gray is 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 1.29 ERA in one start against San Diego this year.

As a unit, Colorado’s pitchers have allowed 5.3 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 5.63 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.12 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 7.9 K/9. In 15 divisional games, Rockies starters have an ERA of 5.94 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.28.

The Colorado offense is putting up 5.1 runs per outing, including 5.5 per game against divisional foes and 7.6 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .316/.383/.548 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Third baseman Nolan Arenado and right fielder Charlie Blackmon have led the Rockies’ batters this year. Arenado is slashing .325/.365/.604 with 10 home runs, 32 RBIs and 30 runs scored, while Blackmon is hitting .301 with five homers, 21 RBIs and 26 runs.

In the other dugout, San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.68 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 8.22 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.15, along with a WHIP of 1.19.

Padres hitters have slashed .230/.290/.413 on their way to 3.9 runs scored per game this year, including 3.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

San Diego’s offensive production has been powered by first baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Manny Machado. Hosmer is hitting .277/.321/.459 with six home runs, 23 RBIs and 21 runs scored. Machado (.250/.325/.438) has produced eight homers, 20 RBIs and 21 runs scored.

The Padres have gained 3.6 units and are 13-17 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 13 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Rockies have lost 2.3 units and are 6-7 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in six of those games, compared to six which went under the total.

Padres vs. Rockies Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Rockies, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has cashed in four of San Diego’s last seven games.
  • The Padres have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games. The Rockies have hit 15 over their last 10.
  • The Padres have a total OPS of .703 this season and an OPS of .690 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Rockies’ OPS stands at .752 overall and .738 versus righties.
  • San Diego has recorded 22.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 21.8 over its last five.