Fernando Tatis Jr. and the San Diego Padres will face off against the Atlanta Braves at SunTrust Park in a Thursday night game. The first pitch is scheduled for 12:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports San Diego will be televising this NL matchup.
San Diego Padres at Atlanta Braves Odds
Bookmakers have San Diego (+110) as the underdog to Atlanta (-120). The total currently stands at 9 runs and bettors can play the over for -105 and the under for -115. This game currently has a runline of Padres +1.5 (-190) and Braves -1.5 (+165).
The Padres have gone 17-14 SU this year and are 13-17 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 3.0 units for moneyline gamblers in the season’s early going, despite having lost 4.5 units ATS. The Braves, on the other hand, are 15-15 SU and 12-17 ATS. They’ve lost 3.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 4.9 units ATS.
Atlanta games have had an over/under record of 15-12-2 so far in 2019. The Padres have an over/under record of 12-16-2.
Matt Strahm is getting the start for San Diego. The left-handed Strahm (0-2, 3.04 ERA) has racked up 21 punchouts in 26.2 innings so far. He has yet to face Atlanta this year, but he did make two starts against the Braves in 2018, putting together a 0-0 record against them with a 1.50 ERA and seven strikeouts.
The Braves are going with righty Mike Foltynewicz (0-0, 6.00 ERA), who’s got five strikeouts and one walks as well as a WHIP of 1.17. Foltynewicz only made one start against the Padres in 2018 (0-1, 3.60 ERA and eight strikeouts across five innings).
San Diego’s pitching staff allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 3.44 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and 8.35 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.82, along with a K/9 of 10.12.
The Padres offense has slashed .218/.280/.396 on its way to 3.5 runs scored per game this year, including 3.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Shortstop Fernando Tatis Jr. and first baseman Eric Hosmer have led San Diego’s hitters. Tatis Jr. is slashing .300/.360/.550 with six home runs, 13 RBIs, 14 runs and six stolen bases. Hosmer (.243/.298/.426) is up to five homers, 18 RBIs and 14 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Atlanta’s pitching staff has given up 4.8 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.70, a WHIP of 1.35 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.9. The bullpen has a 4.33 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 9.8 K/9.
Atlanta’s offense is putting up 5.1 runs per contest, including 5.0 per game over its last 10 games and 4.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .255/.328/.485 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Second baseman Ozzie Albies and first baseman Freddie Freeman have led the Braves’ batters this year. Albies is slashing .296/.353/.520 with six home runs, 13 RBIs and 25 runs scored, while Freeman’s line is .307/.423/.509 with five homers, 18 RBIs and 23 runs.
The Padres have gained 0.1 units and are 9-16 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 10 of those games, compared to 13 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 3.5 units and are 4-4 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in five of those games, compared to two that went under.
Padres at Braves Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The under has hit in four of Atlanta’s last seven games.
- The Braves have won three of their last four games SU.
- San Diego fielders have six errors over the last five outin, compared to three errors for Atlanta over its last five.
- The Padres have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Braves have hit 14 over their last 10.
- The Padres have an OPS of .676 this season and an OPS of .669 against right-handed pitchers. The Braves’ OPS stands at .814 overall and .779 versus righties.
