The San Diego Padres are set to take on their divisional rival Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. The action will begin at 4:10 p.m. ET and fans looking to watch it can tune in to Fox Sports Arizona.
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Odds
Arizona (-180) is favored over San Diego (+170) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this game at 8 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). The games current runline odds sit at -130 for betting the Padres +1.5 runs and +110 for the Diamondbacks -1.5 runs.
The Diamondbacks are 50-40 straight up (SU) and 46-43 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 6.8 units for moneyline bettors and 7.5 units (ATS). Arizona has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Padres are 38-53 SU and have gone 42-48 ATS. Overall, the teams lost 5.5 units for moneyline gamblers and 22.1 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread only once in its last seven games and the under has cashed in three of those seven.
Arizona games have a 42-42-5 over/under record so far in 2018. San Diego has been a decent under bet with a total record of 40-47-3.
Clayton Richard will get the nod for San Diego. The southpaw Richard (7-8, 4.46 ERA) has recorded 86 strikeouts in 113 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with six strikeouts and a 5.40 ERA against Arizona this year.
The Diamondbacks will put the ball in the right hand of Zack Greinke (9-5, 3.36 ERA), who has 112 strikeouts and 20 walks as well as a 1.11 WHIP. Greinke has yet to face the Padres this year, but he made three starts against them in 2017, putting together a 2-1 record with a 2.37 ERA and 25 strikeouts.
Arizona’s pitchers have given up 3.8 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The teams starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.09, a WHIP of 1.27 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.2. The bullpen has recorded a solid ERA of just 2.53, a WHIP of 1.14 and a K/9 of 7.7. In 36 divisional games, Diamondbacks starters have an ERA of 4.04 and the bullpens ERA is 2.97.
Arizona’s hitters have produced 4.5 runs per contest, including 5.1 per game against divisional foes and 6.8 per game over their last five. The team has hit .288/.383/.471 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Outfielder David Peralta and first baseman Paul Goldschmidt have led the charge for the Diamondbacks hitters this year. Peralta is slashing .292/.355/.509 with 15 home runs, 49 RBIs and 41 runs scored, while Goldschmidt’s line is .277/.385/.538 with 20 homers, 51 RBIs and 60 runs scored.
In the visiting dugout, San Diego’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.73 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 7.67 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.73, along with a WHIP of 1.44.
Padres hitters have slashed .233/.299/.368 on their way to 3.7 runs scored per game this year, including 3.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over the teams last five outings (1-4 SU).
San Diego’s offense has been fueled by first baseman Eric Hosmer and outfielder Jose Pirela. Hosmer is slashing .259/.333/.410 with nine home runs, 37 RBIs and 38 runs scored. Pirela is slashing .263/.312/.359 with three homers, 26 RBIs and 44 runs scored.
The Padres have gained 2.0 units and are 33-30 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 26 of those games, compared to 34 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have netted 7.3 units and are 16-15 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The overs cashed in 14 of those games, compared to 14 that’ve gone under.
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – UNDER
Betting Trends
- San Diego has recorded 12 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Arizona has 17 XBH over its last five.
- The Padres have dropped five of their last six games SU.
- San Diego has posted 17.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 17.6 over its last five.
- Each team has hit eight home runs over its last 10 outings.
