San Antonio Spurs vs. Sacramento Kings Free Prediction

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The Sacramento Kings (7-6) will be 3-point underdogs at home in the Golden 1 Center when they take on the San Antonio Spurs (7-4). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 218 points and it will air on NBC Sports – California at 10 p.m. ET on Monday, November 12, 2018.

San Antonio Spurs vs. Sacramento Kings ATS Odds

In the Spurs’ last contest, they were victorious over the Houston Rockets, 96-89, despite being 3.5-point underdogs. The Kings, meanwhile, were beaten by the Los Angeles Lakers, 101-86, and failed to cover as 6-point underdogs. The San Antonio game went 28 points under the projected point total of 213, while the Sacramento game went 50 points under the projected point total of 237.

The Spurs held the Rockets to an effective field goal percentage of 0.383 (below their season average of 0.498) and had a free throw rate of 0.270 (above their season average of 0.205). Sacramento, on the other hand, did an excellent job of converting from the free throw line (16-20; 80.0 percent). De’Aaron Fox played well for Sacramento with 21 points and seven rebounds. LaMarcus Aldridge, meanwhile led the way for San Antonio, contributing 27 points and 10 rebounds.

The Spurs dominated this series last year, taking all four games. In the most recent game, San Antonio won 98-85. San Antonio did an excellent job of getting to and converting from the charity stripe (24-29; 82.8 percent). Sacramento, meanwhile, had a better offensive rebounding percentage (26.1 vs. 25.0). This is the first time these teams will meet this year.

Of the Spurs’ 11 games, six have finished over the O/U total. San Antonio holds records of 7-4 straight up (SU) and 6-5 against the spread (ATS).

Coinciding with San Antonio, Kings games have gone over the projected point total 53.8 percent of the time. Moreover, Sacramento owns records of 7-6 SU and 8-5 ATS.

Fox has been playing at a high level as of late for Sacramento, averaging 19.2 points and 8.0 assists over the last five games.

It will be a battle of opposite paces as the fast-paced Kings will look to push the slower-paced Spurs. The Kings currently rank third in possessions per game while the Spurs are 23rd.

Spurs vs. Kings Pick

Free Pick: SU Winner – Spurs, ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Kings rank sixth in points off turnovers per game (20.6) while the Spurs rank seventh in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.3).
  • Sacramento ranks third in points in the paint per game (55.1) while San Antonio ranks 29th (40.0).
  • The Spurs average 45.7 rebounds per game, which ranks 14th in the NBA. The Kings rank 26th in rebounds allowed per game (50.0).
  • San Antonio ranks 17th in second chance points per game (13.1) while Sacramento ranks 26th (11.4).
  • San Antonio averages 23.6 assists per game, which ranks 15th in the league. Sacramento ranks 17th in assists allowed per game (24.2).
  • The Kings rank first in fast break points per game (22.8) while the Spurs rank 27th (7.0).
  • The Spurs average 6.6 steals per game, which ranks 22nd in the NBA. The Kings rank 24th in steals allowed per game (8.5).
  • San Antonio ranks 15th in three pointers allowed per game (30.8) while Sacramento ranks 29th (36.5).
  • In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Sacramento is 2-0 and San Antonio is 3-1.
  • The Kings are 6-5 when they reach the century mark, while the Spurs are 6-2.
  • Sacramento is 4-2 ATS at home, while San Antonio is 2-2 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone over in 2 of the Spurs’ 4 road games, while 5 of the Kings’ 6 home games have gone under.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Spurs are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Kings are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, San Antonio has 4 unders and 1 over, while Sacramento has 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • The Spurs’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 7.4, up from 1.6 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Kings have scored an average of 113.4 points per game (1.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 116.8 points per game (0.0 above their season average).