The San Antonio Spurs (7-5), 5-point favorites, will travel to Talking Stick Resort Arena to take on the Phoenix Suns (2-11). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 211 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Arizona at 9 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 14, 2018.
San Antonio Spurs vs. Phoenix Suns ATS Odds
Both teams fell in their last outing. The Spurs (2.5-point favorites) were defeated by the Sacramento Kings, 104-99, while the Suns (8-point underdogs) fell to the Oklahoma City Thunder, 118-101. The San Antonio game finished 17 points under the projected point total of 220, while the Phoenix game went 4.5 points over the projected point total of 214.5.
San Antonio did a terrific job of making free throws (13-16; 81.3 percent) while Phoenix had a better effective field goal percentage (0.525 vs. 0.538). Phoenix’s T.J. Warren had a solid performance, putting up 21 points and six rebounds. LaMarcus Aldridge played a pivotal role for San Antonio with 14 points and 18 rebounds.
In their first matchup this year, DeMar DeRozan led the Spurs to a 120-90 victory. He scored a game-high 25 points. San Antonio covered as a 6.5-point favorite and the two teams combined to put up 210 points, which was just under the projected point total of 215. San Antonio made good use of their 26 trips to the free throw line, making 24 of them (92.3 percent). Phoenix, on the other hand, was 14-18 (77.8 percent).
There does not appear to be a trend for Spurs games in regards to the total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under. San Antonio comes into the game with records of 7-5 straight up (SU) and 6-6 against the spread (ATS).
Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Suns games, with 7 unders compared to 6 overs. Moreover, Phoenix owns records of 2-11 SU and 5-8 ATS.
It could be a tough game for Phoenix on the offensive glass. The Suns rank 28th in offensive rebounding percentage (19.5 percent), while San Antonio ranks ninth in defensive rebounding percentage (78.4 percent). Ball protection should be an advantage for the Spurs. They rank 2nd at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.0 percent), while the Suns force the eighth-fewest turnovers in the NBA (opponents’ turnover percentage of 13.1 percent).
San Antonio Spurs vs. Phoenix Suns ATS Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Spurs, ATS Winner – Spurs, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Suns are 25th in the league with 10.4 fast break points per game while the Spurs are 28th with 7.2 fast break points per game.
- San Antonio ranks sixth in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.3) while Phoenix ranks 28th (22.5).
- The Suns rank 15th in three pointers attempted per game (30.9) while the Spurs rank 27th (24.8).
- San Antonio ranks 17th in steals allowed per game (7.7) while Phoenix ranks 28th (10.5).
- San Antonio ranks 14th in rebounds per game (45.5) while Phoenix ranks 25th (41.4).
- The Spurs rank 11th in assists allowed per game (23.0) while the Suns rank 26th (26.4).
- The Spurs rank 14th in second chance points per game (13.2) while the Suns rank 25th (10.4).
- San Antonio ranks 24th in blocks per game (4.2) while Phoenix ranks 26th (3.5).
- San Antonio ranks 13th in points allowed in the paint per game (48.5) while Phoenix ranks 26th (55.1).
- San Antonio is 3-1 when they allow below 100 points.
- The Spurs are 6-2 when they reach 100 points, while the Suns are 2-5.
- San Antonio is 2-3 ATS on the road, while Phoenix is 4-3 ATS at home.
- Of the Spurs’ 5 road games, they have 3 unders and 2 overs.
- The Suns have 4 unders and 3 overs in 7 home games.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, San Antonio and Phoenix are both 2-3 ATS.
- The Spurs have 4 unders and 1 over over their last five games, while the Suns have 3 unders and 2 overs,
- The Spurs’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 0.4, down from 1.1 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Suns have scored an average of 98.6 points per game (2.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 111.4 points per game (3.3 below their season average).
