The San Antonio Spurs (10-10) will travel to the Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves (10-11). The Timberwolves opened as 4-point favorites. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 216 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports – North at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 28, 2018.
San Antonio Spurs at Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Odds
The Timberwolves defeated the Cleveland Cavaliers in their last matchup, 102-95, covering as 6-point favorites. The Spurs, on the other hand, topped the Chicago Bulls, 108-107, but were unable to cover as 6.5-point favorites. The Minnesota game went 17 points under the projected point total of 214, while the San Antonio game finished 0.5 points under the projected point total of 215.5.
The Spurs held the Bulls to an offensive rebounding percentage of 11.4 (below their season average of 16.4) and had a turnover percentage of 9.3 (better than their season average of 10.6). Minnesota, on the other hand, played a nearly flawless game. They had an extraordinarily low turnover percentage of 7.8 (better than their season average of 11.9) and a free throw rate of 0.163 (matching their season average). Cleveland was 14.8 and 0.151, respectively, for those same stats. Minnesota was lifted by Robert Covington, who recorded 24 points and seven rebounds. Meanwhile, LaMarcus Aldridge was a key piece for San Antonio with 20 points and eight rebounds.
In their first matchup this year, Aldridge led the Spurs to a 112-108 victory. He recorded a double-double with 21 points and 19 rebounds. San Antonio covered as a 3-point favorite and the two teams combined to score 220 points, which was over the projected point total of 212. San Antonio had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (37.3 vs. 29.8). Minnesota, on the other hand, did a great job of getting and making free throws (24-27; 88.9 percent).
Spurs games have typically gone over the O/U total (55.0 percent). San Antonio holds records of 10-10 straight up (SU) and 10-10 against the spread (ATS).
Unlike San Antonio, games featuring the Timberwolves tend to finish under the projected point total (71.4 percent). Additionally, Minnesota owns records of 10-11 SU and 11-10 ATS.
San Antonio might have a tough time creating turnovers. Minnesota ranks sixth in the NBA at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 13.0 percent), while San Antonio forces the fifth-fewest turnovers (12.5 percent). ,
San Antonio Spurs at Minnesota Timberwolves Odds Pick
Free Prediction: SU Winner – Timberwolves, ATS Winner – Timberwolves, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Spurs rank 15 in rebounds allowed per game (45.05) while the Timberwolves rank 25 (47.38095238095238).
- Minnesota ranks second in steals per game (9.5) while San Antonio ranks 27th (6.2).
- The Timberwolves rank 11th in blocks per game (5.5) while the Spurs rank 26th (4.0).
- Minnesota ranks 16th in points in the paint per game (46.5) while San Antonio ranks 27th (42.2).
- Minnesota ranks 16 in points off turnovers per game (16.476190476190474) while San Antonio ranks 26 (14.45).
- The Timberwolves rank ninth in fast break points per game (15.1) while the Spurs rank 29th (8.8).
- The Spurs average 23.55 assists per game, which ranks 16 in the league. The Timberwolves rank 27 in assists allowed per game (25.285714285714285).
- Minnesota ranks 21 in three pointers attempted per game (29.571428571428573) while San Antonio ranks 29 (24.55).
- San Antonio ranks seventh in second chance points allowed per game (12.1) while Minnesota ranks 26th (15.5).
- In games where they allow below 100 points, Minnesota is 4-0 and San Antonio is 4-1.
- The Spurs are 9-6 when they reach 100 points, while the Timberwolves are 10-7.
- Minnesota is 7-4 ATS at home, while San Antonio is 5-6 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone over in 6 of the Spurs’ 11 road games, while 7 of the Timberwolves’ 11 home games have gone under.
Bettings Trends:
- The Timberwolves are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Spurs are 2-3.
- In their last five games, Minnesota has 5 unders, while San Antonio has 4 overs and 1 under.
- During their last five games, the Timberwolves have scored an average of 102.6 points per game (6.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 99.2 points per game (12.0 below their season average).
- The Spurs’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 1.8, up from 0.5 for the season.