San Antonio Spurs vs. Memphis Grizzlies Betting Prediction 01/10/20

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The San Antonio Spurs (16-20), 1-point favorites, will be at FedExForum to square off with the Memphis Grizzlies (16-22) in a Southwest Division matchup. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 234 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Southeast at 8 p.m. ET on Friday, January 10, 2020.

San Antonio Spurs vs. Memphis Grizzlies Betting Odds

Both teams covered in their last game. The Grizzlies (4.5-point favorites) defeated the Minnesota Timberwolves 119-112, while the Spurs (2-point underdog) beat the Boston Celtics 129-114. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Memphis game went 3 points over the projected point total of 228, while the San Antonio game went 23 points over the projected point total of 220.

San Antonio played a nearly flawless game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 20.5 (below their season average of 21.3) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.603 (above their season average of 0.528). For those same stats, Boston recorded marks of 16.3 and 0.489, respectively. Memphis, on the other hand, played a perfect game. They had a turnover percentage of 13.2 (worse than their season average of 13.2) and a free throw rate of 0.213 (above their season average of 0.173). For those same stats, Minnesota had marks of 15.4 and 0.189, respectively. Memphis’ Jaren Jackson Jr. had a good game, contributing 21 points and seven rebounds. San Antonio was lifted by DeMar DeRozan, who contributed 31 points and six rebounds.

The Spurs had the upper hand in the most recent game, a 145-115 blowout victory, to even the season series at one. LaMarcus Aldridge was the game’s top overall scorer with 40 points. San Antonio’s 0.758 effective field goal percentage was its biggest strength over Memphis, who had a rate of 0.547. The two teams combined for 260 points, which was well over the projected point total of 229, and San Antonio covered as a 1-point favorite.

Vegas has a tendency to set the total low when the Spurs are playing, as 22 of their 36 games have finished over the projected point total. San Antonio holds records of 16-20 straight up (SU) and 13-21-2 against the spread (ATS).

Grizzlies games also have a tendency to finish over the total (55.3 percent). Further, Memphis is 16-22 SU and 19-18-1 ATS.

Memphis figures to have the edge on the offensive side of the ball. The Grizzlies currently rank ninth in effective field goal percentage (0.533), while San Antonio ranks 19th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.530).

San Antonio Spurs vs. Memphis Grizzlies Betting Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Spurs, ATS Winner – Spurs, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Spurs average 46.8 rebounds per game, which ranks sixth in the league. The Grizzlies rank 11th in rebounds allowed per game (44.9).
  • Memphis ranks first in points in the paint per game (54.6) while San Antonio ranks 25th (44.4).
  • The Grizzlies rank fifth in fast break points per game (16.3) while the Spurs rank 21st in fast break points allowed per game (14.3).
  • Memphis ranks 17th in three pointers attempted per game (32.6) while San Antonio ranks last (27.4).
  • Memphis ranks 18th in second chance points per game (12.9) while San Antonio ranks 26th (11.8).
  • The Spurs rank fifth in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.9) while the Grizzlies rank 28th (19.4).
  • The Spurs average 5.7 blocks per game, which ranks seventh in the NBA. The Grizzlies rank 19th in blocks allowed per game (5.4).
  • Memphis ranks second in assists per game (27.5) while San Antonio ranks 24th in assists allowed per game (25.1).
  • Memphis and San Antonio are both 1-0 when they allow below 100 points.
  • The Spurs are 16-16 when they reach 100 points, while the Grizzlies are 16-17.
  • Memphis is 10-10 ATS at home, while San Antonio is 7-7-2 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone over in 13 of the Grizzlies’ 20 home games, while 10 of the Spurs’ 16 road games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, San Antonio and Memphis have both had 4 overs and 1 under.
  • The Grizzlies are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Spurs are 3-2.
  • During their last five games, the Grizzlies have scored an average of 124.0 points per game (11.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 114.4 points per game (1.9 below their season average).
  • The Spurs have outscored opponents by an average of 5.2 points in their last five games. On the season, San Antonio has lost by an average of 0.8 points.