San Antonio Spurs vs. Memphis Grizzlies Betting Prediction 01/09/19

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Don’t expect a fast-paced game when the San Antonio Spurs (24-17), 3-point favorites, travel to Memphis to play the Grizzlies (18-22). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 204 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Southeast at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 9, 2019.

San Antonio Spurs at Memphis Grizzlies Betting Odds

The Spurs will be hoping for similar success after comfortably covering the 2.5-point spread against the Detroit Pistons in their last contest, 119-107. The Grizzlies, on the other hand, were blown out by the New Orleans Pelicans, 114-95, and failed to cover as 4.5-point underdogs. The San Antonio game finished 11.5 points over the projected point total of 214.5, while the Memphis game went 5 points under the projected point total of 214.

San Antonio dominated every facet of the game. They had a ridiculous free throw rate of 0.329 (above their season average of 0.204) and a turnover percentage of 8.8 (better than their season average of 11.0). Detroit had marks of 0.165 and 9.8, respectively, for those same stats. Memphis, on the other hand, held New Orleans to an offensive rebounding percentage of 14.3 (below their season average of 25.8). Mike Conley had a good game for Memphis with 22 points and 10 assists. San Antonio, meanwhile, was led by DeMar DeRozan, who finished with 26 points, nine assists and seven rebounds.

The Spurs evened the season series at one with a 108-88 blowout win in their most recent matchup. LaMarcus Aldridge was a top performer in the victory, with 18 points and seven assists. San Antonio made good use of their 35 trips to the charity stripe, making 29 of them (82.9 percent). Memphis, meanwhile, was 15-19 (78.9 percent). The two teams combined to put up 196 points, which was under the projected point total of 204, and San Antonio covered as a 9-point favorite.

Spurs matchups have typically finished over the total (56.1 percent). San Antonio comes into the contest with records of 24-17 straight up (SU) and 25-15-1 against the spread (ATS).

Contrary to San Antonio, games involving the Grizzlies have a tendency to finish under the total (60.0 percent). Further, Memphis owns records of 18-22 SU and 17-23 ATS.

Derrick White has been excellent as of late for San Antonio, averaging 16 points,2.2 steals over the last five games.

Half-court execution will be at a premium when two of the league’s slowest-paced teams go head-to-head. Memphis currently ranks 29th in possessions per game (97.6) and San Antonio is 27th (100.0). Moreover, the Spurs rank second in turnover percentage (12.0 percent), while the Grizzlies rank second in opponents’ turnover percentage (15.7 percent).

Spurs at Grizzlies Betting Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Spurs, ATS Winner – Spurs, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Spurs average 10.7 fast break points per game, which ranks 23rd in the league. The Grizzlies rank 24th in fast break points allowed per game (15.0).
  • Memphis ranks fourth in blocks per game (6.0) while San Antonio ranks 27th (4.3).
  • The Grizzlies rank third in second chance points allowed per game (11.1) while the Spurs rank 11th (12.5).
  • San Antonio ranks fourth in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.0) while Memphis ranks 11th (16.2).
  • Memphis ranks second in points allowed in the paint per game (42.0) while San Antonio ranks seventh (46.1).
  • The Grizzlies rank eighth in steals per game (8.8) while the Spurs rank 29th (6.3).
  • The Grizzlies rank 25th in three pointers attempted per game (26.9) while the Spurs rank last (24.3).
  • San Antonio ranks 20th in rebounds per game (44.3) while Memphis ranks last (39.5).
  • Memphis is 10-3 when they allow less than 100 points, while San Antonio is 11-2.
  • In games where they score more than 100 points, the Grizzlies are 12-7 and the Spurs are 23-10.
  • San Antonio is 9-9-1 ATS on the road, while Memphis is 9-10 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone over in 12 of the Spurs’ 19 road games, while 10 of the Grizzlies’ 19 home games have gone under.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Spurs are 5-0 ATS over their last five games, while the Grizzlies are 0-5.
  • In their last five games, San Antonio has 4 overs and 1 under, while Memphis has 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • During their last five games, the Spurs have scored an average of 118.8 points per game (6.9 above their season average) and allowed an average of 104.8 points per game (3.8 below their season average).
  • The Grizzlies’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 13.4, up from 1.9 for the season.