The NBA’s top scoring team will be 11-point favorites at home in ORACLE Arena, when the Golden State Warriors (37-15) go head-to-head with the San Antonio Spurs (32-23). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 233.5 points and it can be seen on ESPN at 10:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, February 6, 2019.
San Antonio Spurs at Golden State Warriors ATS Odds
Neither team was able to cover in their last contest. The Warriors (15-point favorites) beat the Los Angeles Lakers, 115-101, while the Spurs (2-point favorites) were defeated by the Sacramento Kings, 127-112. The Golden State game finished 18.5 points under the projected point total of 234.5, while the San Antonio game finished 7.5 points over the projected point total of 231.5.
Golden State played a nearly perfect game. They had a free throw rate of 0.198 (above their season average of 0.196) and a turnover percentage of 9.1 (better than their season average of 12.2). For those same stats, Los Angeles was 0.104 and 12.7, respectively. San Antonio, meanwhile, had an offensive rebounding percentage of 27.3 (above their season average of 21.4). Kevin Durant had a good outing for Golden State, recording 21 points, 11 assists and five rebounds. San Antonio received a boost from LaMarcus Aldridge, who contributed 22 points and nine rebounds.
In their first matchup this year, Aldridge led the Spurs to a 104-92 win. He recorded a double-double with 24 points and 18 rebounds. The two teams combined to score 196 points, which was well under the projected point total of 212, and San Antonio covered as a 3-point favorite. San Antonio’s effective field goal percentage was its biggest strength over Golden State. The Spurs had a rate of 0.500 while the Warriors posted a mark of 0.436.
Spurs games have typically finished over the total (58.2 percent). San Antonio comes into the game with records of 32-23 straight up (SU) and 31-23-1 against the spread (ATS).
Of the Warriors’ 52 games, 28 have finished over the total. Golden State has an excellent 37-15 SU record, but they struggle covering the spread (23-28-1 ATS).
This contest figures to be a shootout as two of the NBA’s best offenses square off. Golden State currently ranks first with 115.0 points per 100 possessions and San Antonio is third (112.0). Ball protection should be an advantage for the Spurs. They rank 2nd at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.1 percent). Conversely, the Warriors force the sixth-fewest turnovers in the league (opponents’ turnover percentage of 12.4 percent).
San Antonio Spurs at Golden State Warriors ATS Pick
Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Warriors, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Warriors rank fifth in rebounds allowed per game (43.4) while the Spurs rank seventh (43.6).
- Golden State ranks first in blocks per game (6.4) while San Antonio ranks 25th (4.5).
- The Warriors rank first in assists per game (29.3) while the Spurs rank 21st in assists allowed per game (25.0).
- Golden State ranks 19th in steals per game (7.4) while San Antonio ranks 29th (6.2).
- San Antonio is 25th in the NBA with 43.7 points in the paint per game while Golden State is 27th with 42.5 points in the paint per game.
- The Warriors rank third in fast break points per game (18.8) while the Spurs rank 24th (10.8).
- The Warriors rank 22nd in second chance points per game (12.5) while the Spurs rank 25th (11.8).
- Golden State ranks ninth in three pointers attempted per game (33.3) while San Antonio ranks 29th (24.9).
- In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Golden State is 6-0 and San Antonio is 11-3.
- In games where they reach 100 points, the Spurs are 31-13 and the Warriors are 37-10.
- Golden State is 10-15-1 ATS at home, while San Antonio is 13-12-1 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone under in 15 of the Warriors’ 26 home games, while 17 of the Spurs’ 26 road games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- The Warriors are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Spurs are 1-4.
- In their last five games, Golden State has 3 unders and 2 overs, while San Antonio has 4 overs and 1 under.
- During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 118.4 points per game (0.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 108.6 points per game (3.0 below their season average).
- The Spurs’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 1.6, down from 2.3 for the season.
