The San Antonio Spurs (38-29) and the Dallas Mavericks (27-39) face off at American Airlines Center. The Spurs have won five consecutive games, while the Mavericks are on a five-game skid. Action gets underway at 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday, March 12, 2019, and can be seen on Fox Sports – Southwest.
San Antonio Spurs at Dallas Mavericks ATS Odds
Both teams covered in their last outing. The Spurs (2-point underdogs) defeated the Milwaukee Bucks, 121-114, while the Mavericks (8-point underdogs) were defeated by the Houston Rockets, 94-93. The San Antonio game finished 5.5 points over the projected point total of 229.5, while the Dallas game went 35.5 points under the projected point total of 222.5.
The Spurs had an absurdly low turnover percentage of 3.6 (better than their season average of 11.0) and held the Bucks to an offensive rebounding percentage of 13.6 (below their season average of 21.2). Dallas, meanwhile, did a great job of getting to and converting from the free throw line (22-27; 81.5 percent). Luka Doncic led the way for Dallas, recording 19 points, 15 rebounds and nine assists. San Antonio, meanwhile, rallied around LaMarcus Aldridge, who contributed 29 points and 15 rebounds.
In their two matchups this year, the Spurs have won both. The two teams combined for 206 points in their most recent game, which was under the projected point total of 217. San Antonio won 105-101, covering as a 2-point underdog. The Spurs’ turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over the Mavericks. San Antonio had a rate of 9.3, while Dallas posted a mark of 12.3. In the loss, Doncic led all scorers with 25 points.
Oddsmakers tend to place the total low when the Spurs are playing, as 58.2 percent of their games have ended over the total. San Antonio comes into the game with records of 38-29 straight up (SU) and 36-30-1 against the spread (ATS).
Contrary to San Antonio, Mavericks games have gone under the total 54.5 percent of the time. Additionally, Dallas is 27-39 SU and 38-28 ATS.
Half-court execution will be at a premium when a pair of the league’s slowest-paced teams battle. Dallas currently ranks 21st in possessions per game (101.5) and San Antonio is 24th (100.6).
San Antonio Spurs vs. Dallas Mavericks Odds Pick
Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Mavericks, ATS Winner – Mavericks, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- Dallas ranks fourth in three pointers attempted per game (35.8) while San Antonio ranks last (25.0).
- The Mavericks rank 21st in second chance points per game (12.9) while the Spurs rank 27th (11.7).
- San Antonio ranks 23rd in blocks per game (4.6) while Dallas ranks 26th (4.3).
- Dallas ranks 23rd in points in the paint per game (44.5) while San Antonio ranks 25th (43.4).
- The Spurs rank ninth in steals allowed per game (7.3) while the Mavericks rank 25th (8.2).
- The Mavericks rank 26th in points off turnovers per game (15.0) while the Spurs rank 29th (14.4).
- Dallas ranks 16th in fast break points per game (12.8) while San Antonio ranks 25th (10.6).
- In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, San Antonio is 12-3 and Dallas is 10-4.
- When reaching the century mark, the Mavericks are 26-30 and the Spurs are 37-18.
- San Antonio is 15-18-1 ATS on the road, while Dallas is 22-11 ATS at home.
- The Spurs have 23 overs and 11 unders in 34 road games.
- The Mavericks have 20 unders and 13 overs in 33 home games.
Bettings Trends:
- The Spurs are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Mavericks are 2-3.
- In their last five games, San Antonio has 4 unders and 1 over, while Dallas has 3 unders and 2 overs.
- The Spurs’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 8.2, up from 1.0 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Mavericks have scored an average of 98.2 points per game (9.7 below their season average) and allowed an average of 115.0 points per game (5.4 above their season average).
