San Antonio Spurs at Utah Jazz Betting Prediction

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The San Antonio Spurs (11-12) will travel to Vivint Smart Home Arena to take on the Utah Jazz (11-13). The Spurs opened as 6-point underdogs. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 214.5 points and it will air on NBATV at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday, December 4, 2018.

San Antonio Spurs vs. Utah Jazz Betting Odds

In the Spurs’ last outing, they comfortably covered the 1-point spread against the Portland Trail Blazers, 131-118. The Jazz, meanwhile, were beaten by the Miami Heat, 102-100, and were not able to cover as 4-point underdogs. The San Antonio game finished 31 points over the projected point total of 218, while the Utah game finished 6.5 points under the projected point total of 208.5.

San Antonio played a nearly flawless game. They had a turnover percentage of 11.5 (worse than their season average of 10.9) and a free throw rate of 0.241 (above their season average of 0.202). Portland recorded marks of 15.4 and 0.186, respectively, for those same stats. Utah, meanwhile, held Miami to an effective field goal percentage of 0.467 (below the 0.535 mark opponents have averaged against Utah this season). Utah’s Rudy Gobert had a solid performance, putting up 12 points and 18 rebounds. Meanwhile, DeMar DeRozan was a key piece for San Antonio with 36 points, eight rebounds and six assists.

The Jazz edged out the Spurs in this series last year, emerging victorious in three out of four games. In the most recent contest, San Antonio won 124-120. San Antonio had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (27.5 vs. 11.6). Utah, meanwhile, did a fantastic job of getting and making free throws (23-29; 79.3 percent). This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.

Vegas has a tendency to set the total low when the Spurs are playing, as 60.9 percent of their games have finished over the O/U total. San Antonio heads into the contest with records of 11-12 straight up (SU) and 11-12 against the spread (ATS).

Similarly to San Antonio, games including the Jazz also have typically finished over the projected point total (62.5 percent). Moreover, Utah owns records of 11-13 SU and 11-13 ATS.

Half-court execution will be at a premium when a pair of the NBA’s slowest-paced teams go head-to-head. Utah currently ranks 23rd in possessions per game (101.1) and San Antonio is 25th (100.7).

San Antonio Spurs vs. Utah Jazz Free Pick

Free Prediction: SU Winner – Jazz, ATS Winner – Spurs, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Jazz rank 17 in assists per game (23.541666666666668) while the Spurs rank 21 in assists allowed per game (25).
  • Utah ranks eighth in steals per game (8.5) while San Antonio ranks 29th (5.8).
  • The Jazz rank 12th in points in the paint per game (48.7) while the Spurs rank 27th (42.2).
  • Utah ranks 15th in blocks per game (5.4) while San Antonio ranks 25th (4.1).
  • Utah ranks 5 in second chance points allowed per game (11.916666666666666) while San Antonio ranks 11 (12.565217391304348).
  • The Spurs rank eighth in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.7) while the Jazz rank 27th (19.0).
  • The Jazz rank 5 in rebounds allowed per game (42.666666666666664) while the Spurs rank 15 (44.869565217391305).
  • Utah is 27 in the league with 9.833333333333334 fast break points per game while San Antonio is 28 with 9.217391304347826 fast break points per game.
  • Utah ranks 13th in three pointers attempted per game (31.9) while San Antonio ranks 29th (24.4).
  • In games where they allow under 100 points, San Antonio is 4-1 and Utah is 4-2.
  • In games where they reach the century mark, the Spurs are 10-7 and the Jazz are 9-7.
  • Utah is 3-5 ATS at home, while San Antonio is 5-7 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone over in 7 of the Jazz’s 8 home games, while 7 of the Spurs’ 12 road games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Jazz are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Spurs are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Utah has 3 overs and 2 unders, while San Antonio has 4 overs and 1 under.
  • The Jazz have outscored opponents by an average of 0.8 points in their last five games. For the season, Utah has lost by an average of 2.3 points.
  • During their last five games, the Spurs have scored an average of 112.4 points per game (3.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 124.8 points per game (12.5 above their season average).