Don’t expect a fast-paced game when the San Antonio Spurs (16-15), 1-point favorites, head to Orlando to play the Magic (14-15). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 207.5 points and it will air on NBATV at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, December 19, 2018.
San Antonio Spurs vs. Orlando Magic ATS Odds
Both teams covered in their last game. The Magic (6-point underdogs) defeated the Utah Jazz 96-89, while the Spurs (1-point favorite) beat the Philadelphia 76ers 123-96. The Orlando game went 22 points under the projected point total of 207, while the San Antonio game went 5.5 points under the projected point total of 224.5.
San Antonio played a nearly perfect game. They had a free throw rate of 0.184 (matching their season average) and a turnover percentage of 6.0 (better than their season average of 11.1). Philadelphia recorded marks of 0.051 and 9.0, respectively, for those same stats. Orlando, on the other hand, launched 24 three pointers, making 11 of them (45.8 percent), while Utah was 7-29 (24.1 percent). Orlando’s Nikola Vucevic had a solid performance, recording 15 points, 19 rebounds and five assists. LaMarcus Aldridge, meanwhile was a key piece for San Antonio with 20 points and 10 rebounds.
In their first matchup this season, Aaron Gordon led the Magic to a 117-110 victory. He scored a game-high 26 points. The two teams combined to put up 227 points, which was well over the projected point total of 207, and Orlando covered as an 8-point underdog. The Magic’s turnover percentage was their largest advantage over the Spurs. Orlando had a rate of 7.5, while San Antonio posted a mark of 10.0.
Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Spurs games, with 17 overs compared to 14 unders. San Antonio comes into the contest with records of 16-15 straight up (SU) and 16-14-1 against the spread (ATS).
Vegas has a tendency to set the total high when the Magic are involved, as 19 of their 31 games have finished under the projected point total. Additionally, Orlando owns records of 14-15 SU and 16-11-2 ATS.
Rudy Gay has really been playing well as of late for San Antonio, averaging 16 points,7.4 rebounds,1.4 steals over the last five games.
Half-court execution will be critical when a pair of the NBA’s slowest-paced teams clash. Orlando ranks 27th in possessions per game (100.3) and San Antonio is 26th (100.3).
San Antonio Spurs at Orlando Magic Odds Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Magic, ATS Winner – Magic, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Magic are 26 in the NBA with 10.172413793103448 fast break points per game while the Spurs are 29 with 9.064516129032258 fast break points per game.
- Orlando ranks eighth in blocks per game (5.6) while San Antonio ranks 25th (4.5).
- The Magic rank 22nd in steals per game (7.0) while the Spurs rank 28th (6.0).
- Orlando ranks 23rd in points off turnovers per game (15.8) while San Antonio ranks 27th (14.3).
- San Antonio ranks 26 in points in the paint per game (43.225806451612904) while Orlando ranks 29 (41.86206896551724).
- The Magic rank 13th in three pointers attempted per game (31.6) while the Spurs rank 29th (23.9).
- The Spurs average 44.354838709677416 rebounds per game, which ranks 17 in the NBA. The Magic rank 21 in rebounds allowed per game (46).
- Orlando averages 25.3 assists per game, which ranks seventh in the league. San Antonio ranks 21st in assists allowed per game (24.7).
- Orlando is 6-1 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while San Antonio is 8-2.
- The Magic are 10-6 when they reach the century mark, while the Spurs are 15-9.
- Orlando is 6-8 ATS at home, while San Antonio is 5-8-1 ATS on the road.
- The Spurs have 9 overs and 5 unders in 14 road games.
- Of the Magic’s 14 home games, they have 9 unders and 5 overs.
Bettings Trends:
- The Spurs are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Magic are 1-3-1.
- In their last five games, San Antonio has 5 unders, while Orlando has 4 unders and 1 over.
- The Spurs’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 19.6, up from 0.1 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Magic have scored an average of 95.4 points per game (8.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 103.4 points per game (3.3 below their season average).
