San Antonio Spurs at Memphis Grizzlies ATS Prediction 02/12/19

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The San Antonio Spurs (32-26), 4-point favorites, will be at FedExForum to clash against the Memphis Grizzlies (23-34) in a Southwest Division matchup. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 208.5 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Southeast at 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday, February 12, 2019.

San Antonio Spurs vs. Memphis Grizzlies ATS Odds

In the Grizzlies’ last game, they beat the New Orleans Pelicans, 99-90, despite being 1-point underdogs. The Spurs, meanwhile, were dismantled by the Utah Jazz, 125-105, and were not able to cover as 8-point underdogs. The Memphis game went 25.5 points under the projected point total of 214.5, while the San Antonio game went 10.5 points over the projected point total of 219.5.

The Grizzlies forced 15 turnovers and held the Pelicans to an effective field goal percentage of 0.430 (below their season average of 0.535). San Antonio, on the other hand, did a great job of converting from the free throw line (18-20; 90.0 percent). Memphis’ Joakim Noah had a good game, contributing 19 points and 14 rebounds. LaMarcus Aldridge fueled San Antonio with 15 points and 10 rebounds.

The Grizzlies lead the season series two games to one. The two teams combined for 182 points in their most recent game, which was well under the projected point total of 206. Memphis won 96-86, covering as a 2.5-point underdog. The Grizzlies’ 8.3 turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over the Spurs, who had a mark of 12.3. Marc Gasol put up a double-double in the victory with 26 points and 14 rebounds.

Of the Spurs’ 58 games, 35 have finished over the projected point total. San Antonio heads into the game with records of 32-26 straight up (SU) and 31-26-1 against the spread (ATS).

Contrary to San Antonio, Grizzlies games have typically finished under the O/U total (63.2 percent). Further, Memphis is 23-34 SU and 25-31-1 ATS.

Half-court execution will be critical when a pair of the league’s slowest-paced teams clash. Memphis ranks 30th in possessions per game (97.6) and San Antonio is 23rd (100.7). Moreover, the Spurs commit the second-fewest errors in the league (turnover percentage of 12.2 percent), while the gambling defense of the Grizzlies causes the third-most (opponents’ turnover percentage of 15.3 percent).

San Antonio Spurs at Memphis Grizzlies ATS Pick

NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Spurs, ATS Winner – Spurs, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Grizzlies rank fifth in second chance points allowed per game (11.6) while the Spurs rank 11th (12.8).
  • Memphis ranks fourth in blocks per game (5.7) while San Antonio ranks 27th (4.4).
  • The Grizzlies rank third in assists allowed per game (22.9) while the Spurs rank 22nd (25.3).
  • Memphis ranks second in points allowed in the paint per game (41.5) while San Antonio ranks ninth (47.5).
  • San Antonio ranks 22nd in rebounds per game (44.1) while Memphis ranks 29th (40.5).
  • The Grizzlies rank seventh in steals per game (8.6) while the Spurs rank 29th (6.2).
  • The Grizzlies rank 18th in fast break points per game (11.6) while the Spurs rank 25th (10.5).
  • Memphis ranks 25th in three pointers attempted per game (27.5) while San Antonio ranks 29th (24.9).
  • Memphis ranks eighth in points off turnovers per game (18.0) while San Antonio ranks 27th (14.6).
  • Memphis is 13-6 when they allow under 100 points, while San Antonio is 11-3.
  • In games where they reach 100 points, the Grizzlies are 14-11 and the Spurs are 31-16.
  • Memphis is 14-14 ATS at home, while San Antonio is 13-15-1 ATS on the road.
  • In 29 road games, the Spurs have 20 overs and 9 unders.
  • The Grizzlies have 16 unders, 11 overs and 1 push in 28 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Grizzlies are 3-1-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Spurs are 0-5.
  • In their last five games, Memphis has 4 unders and 1 over, while San Antonio has 4 overs and 1 under.
  • The Grizzlies’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 1.4, down from 3.1 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Spurs have scored an average of 110.0 points per game (2.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 125.6 points per game (14.2 above their season average).