San Antonio Spurs at Los Angeles Clippers Betting Prediction 12/29/18

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It figures to be a high-scoring affair as the San Antonio Spurs (19-17), 3-point underdogs, travel to Los Angeles to play the Clippers (21-14). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 227.5 points and it will air on Fox Sports – Southwest at 10:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, December 29, 2018.

San Antonio Spurs at Los Angeles Clippers ATS Odds

In their last outing, the Clippers (4.5-point underdogs) covered in a 118-107 victory over the Los Angeles Lakers. The Spurs fell to the Denver Nuggets, 102-99, but did cover as 4-point underdogs. The Los Angeles game went 13.5 points under the projected point total of 238.5, while the San Antonio game went 15 points under the projected point total of 216.

The Clippers forced 17 turnovers and had a free throw rate of 0.352 (above their season average of 0.265). The Spurs, meanwhile, forced the Nuggets into a turnover percentage of 18.5 (above their season average of 11.9). Los Angeles received a boost from Lou Williams, who had 36 points and seven rebounds. LaMarcus Aldridge, meanwhile had a good outing for San Antonio, finishing with 24 points and seven rebounds.

The Spurs won the most recent matchup 125-87 to even the season series at one. Rudy Gay had a standout performance in the victory, producing 21 points and 6 rebounds. San Antonio couldn’t miss, shooting 57.8 percent from the field. Los Angeles, on the other hand, had a field goal percentage of 35.7. San Antonio covered as a 3-point favorite and the two teams combined for 212 points, which was under the projected point total of 221.5.

Spurs games have gone over the total 54.3 percent of the time. San Antonio comes into the game with records of 19-17 straight up (SU) and 19-15-1 against the spread (ATS).

Games featuring the Clippers tend to finish over the O/U total (64.7 percent). Additionally, Los Angeles is 21-14 SU and 20-14 ATS.

The Spurs’ Bryn Forbes has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 14 points,3.2 assists per game. Meanwhile, Danilo Gallinari has averaged 23 points,6.2 rebounds during that same time frame for the Clippers.

This meeting figures to be a high-scoring affair as a pair of the NBA’s best offenses face off. Los Angeles ranks second with 111.1 points per 100 possessions and San Antonio is fifth (111.0). Additionally, the Spurs rank second in turnover percentage (11.9 percent), while the Clippers rank 30th in opponents’ turnover percentage (11.3 percent).

San Antonio Spurs at Los Angeles Clippers ATS Pick

NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Spurs, ATS Winner – Spurs, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Clippers rank 28 in three pointers attempted per game (24.742857142857144) while the Spurs rank 29 (24.36111111111111).
  • San Antonio ranks third in blocks allowed per game (4.4) while Los Angeles ranks 27th (6.0).
  • The Spurs rank 11th in fast break points allowed per game (12.9) while the Clippers rank 26th (15.4).
  • San Antonio ranks 13th in second chance points allowed per game (12.9) while Los Angeles ranks 26th (14.8).
  • San Antonio ranks 27 in steals per game (6.111111111111111) while Los Angeles ranks 28 (5.914285714285715).
  • The Spurs rank seventh in points allowed in the paint per game (46.3) while the Clippers rank 27th (52.0).
  • The Spurs average 24.52777777777778 assists per game, which ranks 13 in the NBA. The Clippers rank 15 in assists allowed per game (23.97142857142857).
  • San Antonio ranks 18 in rebounds per game (44.47222222222222) while Los Angeles ranks 19 in rebounds allowed per game (45.542857142857144).
  • San Antonio ranks fifth in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.4) while Los Angeles ranks 20th (17.7).
  • San Antonio is 10-2 when they allow under 100 points, while Los Angeles is 3-1.
  • The Spurs are 18-10 when they score above 100 points, while the Clippers are 21-9.
  • Los Angeles is 11-5 ATS at home, while San Antonio is 6-9-1 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone over in 10 of the Spurs’ 16 road games, while 11 of the Clippers’ 16 home games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, San Antonio and Los Angeles are both 4-1 ATS.
  • The Spurs have 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games, while the Clippers have 5 overs
  • The Spurs’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 12.6, up from 1.8 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Clippers have scored an average of 125.8 points per game (9.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 117.2 points per game (2.7 above their season average).