San Antonio Spurs at Detroit Pistons Free Prediction 01/07/19

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The San Antonio Spurs (23-17), 3-point favorites, will travel to Little Caesars Arena to go head-to-head against the Detroit Pistons (17-20). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 214 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Southwest at 7 p.m. ET on Monday, January 7, 2019.

San Antonio Spurs vs. Detroit Pistons ATS Odds

The Spurs come in on a high note after easily covering the 8.5-point spread against the Memphis Grizzlies in their last game, 108-88. The Pistons, meanwhile, were beaten by the Utah Jazz, 110-105, and failed to cover as 3.5-point underdogs. The San Antonio game went 8 points under the projected point total of 204, while the Detroit game finished 5.5 points over the projected point total of 209.5.

San Antonio played a nearly perfect game. They had an extraordinary free throw rate of 0.397 (above their season average of 0.200) and a turnover percentage of 14.5 (worse than their season average of 10.9). Memphis recorded marks of 0.183 and 18.1, respectively, for those same stats. Detroit, meanwhile, made 11 of their 25 three pointers (44.0 percent). Blake Griffin had a good outing for Detroit with 34 points, 10 rebounds and five assists. LaMarcus Aldridge played well for San Antonio, finishing with 18 points and seven assists.

This was a highly competitive series last year. Each won one of the two games played against each other last season. The Pistons won the most recent game 93-79. Detroit’s 0.494 effective field goal percentage was its largest strength over San Antonio, who had a rate of 0.399. This will be the first contest of the year between these two teams.

Of the Spurs’ 40 games, 22 have gone over the total. San Antonio comes into the contest with records of 23-17 straight up (SU) and 24-15-1 against the spread (ATS).

In opposition of San Antonio, a little over half of Pistons games have finished under the projected point total. Further, Detroit is 17-20 SU and 17-19-1 ATS.

Derrick White has really been playing well as of late for San Antonio, averaging 14 points,3.6 assists,2.2 steals over the last five games.

The battle on the backboards could prove decisive, pitting strength against strength. The Pistons rank fifth in offensive rebounding percentage (25.4 percent), while San Antonio ranks fifth in defensive rebounding percentage (78.5 percent).

Spurs vs. Pistons Free Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Spurs, ATS Winner – Spurs, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • Detroit ranks seventh in three pointers attempted per game (33.6) while San Antonio ranks last (24.4).
  • The Spurs rank fifth in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.1) while the Pistons rank 17th (17.2).
  • Detroit ranks fifth in fast break points allowed per game (11.7) while San Antonio ranks 13th (13.2).
  • The Pistons rank seventh in second chance points per game (14.3) while the Spurs rank 27th (11.5).
  • The Pistons rank 25th in steals per game (6.8) while the Spurs rank 29th (6.3).
  • San Antonio ranks seventh in points allowed in the paint per game (45.9) while Detroit ranks 25th (51.6).
  • San Antonio is 11-2 when they allow below 100 points, while Detroit is 4-2.
  • The Spurs are 22-10 when they reach the century mark, while the Pistons are 17-12.
  • San Antonio is 8-9-1 ATS on the road, while Detroit is 8-11-1 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone over in 11 of the Spurs’ 18 road games, while 11 of the Pistons’ 20 home games have gone under.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, San Antonio and Detroit have both had 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • The Spurs are 5-0 ATS over their last five games, while the Pistons are 1-4.
  • The Spurs’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 11.0, up from 3.1 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Pistons have scored an average of 99.8 points per game (7.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 111.8 points per game (2.4 above their season average).