San Antonio Spurs at Denver Nuggets ATS Prediction 04/23/19

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The San Antonio Spurs (2-2), 5.5-point underdogs, will travel to Pepsi Center to take on the Denver Nuggets (2-2) in game five of the First Round of the Western Conference Playoffs. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 211.5 points and it will air on NBATV at 9:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, April 23, 2019.

San Antonio Spurs at Denver Nuggets ATS Odds

In game four, Jokic led the Nuggets to a 117-103 victory. He registered a double-double with 29 points and 12 rebounds. The two teams combined to put up 220 points, which was over the projected point total of 209.5, and Denver covered as a 4-point underdog. The Nuggets’ turnover percentage was their largest strength over the Spurs. Denver had a rate of 6.6, while San Antonio posted a mark of 8.8.

Games featuring the Spurs have gone over the O/U total 53.5 percent of the time. San Antonio comes into the game with records of 50-36 straight up (SU) and 45-39-2 against the spread (ATS).

Vegas is known to set the total high when the Nuggets are involved, as 48 of their 86 games have ended under the total. Moreover, Denver owns records of 56-30 SU and 44-42 ATS.

Half-court execution will be critical when a pair of the NBA’s slowest-paced teams clash. Denver ranks 27th in possessions per game (100.0) and San Antonio is 28th (99.9).

Spurs vs. Nuggets Odds Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Nuggets, ATS Winner – Nuggets, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Nuggets rank 21st in points off turnovers per game (15.5) while the Spurs rank last (14.0).
  • Denver ranks second in second chance points per game (15.4) while San Antonio ranks 28th (11.5).
  • The Nuggets rank 13th in steals per game (7.6) while the Spurs rank 28th (6.1).
  • Denver ranks 16th in three pointers attempted per game (31.2) while San Antonio ranks last (24.9).
  • San Antonio ranks third in blocks allowed per game (4.0) while Denver ranks 13th (4.9).
  • The Nuggets rank fifth in points in the paint per game (51.8) while the Spurs rank 27th (43.6).
  • The Nuggets rank 15th in fast break points per game (12.6) while the Spurs rank 28th (10.3).
  • Denver is second in the league with 42.7 rebounds allowed per game while San Antonio is fifth with 43.8 rebounds allowed per game.
  • Denver ranks second in assists per game (27.4) while San Antonio ranks 19th in assists allowed per game (24.8).
  • In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Denver is 25-2 and San Antonio is 17-3.
  • The Nuggets are 52-21 when they score over 100 points, while the Spurs are 49-24.
  • San Antonio is 20-21-2 ATS on the road, while Denver is 26-17 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone under in 23 of the Nuggets’ 43 home games, while 26 of the Spurs’ 43 road games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, San Antonio and Denver are both 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • The Spurs’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 0.6, down from 1.5 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Nuggets have scored an average of 106.8 points per game (3.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 104.4 points per game (2.3 below their season average).