The San Antonio Spurs (5-8) and the Dallas Mavericks (7-5) clash at American Airlines Center. The Spurs are 4.5-point underdogs and look to put an end to their five-game losing streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 226.5 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Southwest at 8:30 p.m. ET on Monday, November 18, 2019.
San Antonio Spurs vs. Dallas Mavericks ATS Odds
In the Mavericks’ previous outing, they covered the 4.5-point spread against the Toronto Raptors, 110-102. The Spurs, meanwhile, were beat by the Portland Trail Blazers, 121-116, and failed to cover as 1.5-point underdogs. The Dallas game went 6 points under the projected point total of 218, while the San Antonio game finished 11.5 points over the projected point total of 225.5.
Dallas dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a great free throw rate of 0.307 (above their season average of 0.220) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 25.5 (above their season average of 24.0). Toronto had marks of 0.124 and 14.0, respectively, for those same stats. San Antonio, meanwhile, did a fantastic job of getting and making free throws (29-34; 85.3 percent). Luka Doncic had a solid performance for Dallas, recording 26 points, 15 rebounds and seven assists. San Antonio, meanwhile, received a boost from LaMarcus Aldridge, who recorded 30 points and 13 rebounds.
The Spurs dominated this series last year, securing victories in all four contests. In the last contest, San Antonio won 105-94. Converting at the free throw line was one of San Antonio’s largest strengths. They were 15-18 (83.3 percent), while the Mavericks were 9-12 (75.0 percent). This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.
Vegas is known to set the total low when the Spurs are playing, as 61.5 percent of their games have gone over the total. San Antonio heads into the game with records of 5-8 straight up (SU) and 2-10-1 against the spread (ATS).
Coinciding with San Antonio, Mavericks games also have a tendency to finish over the projected point total (58.3 percent). Moreover, Dallas is 7-5 SU and 5-7 ATS.
The prolific offense of Dallas will battle against the bottom-tier defense of San Antonio. The Mavericks rank second in offensive efficiency, while the Spurs are 25th in defensive efficiency. The Mavericks figure to have the advantage on that end of the court.
San Antonio Spurs at Dallas Mavericks ATS Pick
Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Mavericks, ATS Winner – Spurs, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Spurs average 24.0 assists per game, which ranks 13th in the league. The Mavericks rank 14th in assists allowed per game (23.5).
- Dallas ranks fourth in three pointers attempted per game (39.5) while San Antonio ranks 29th (25.1).
- The Spurs rank second in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.0) while the Mavericks rank 12th (17.4).
- San Antonio accounts for 15.1 fast-break points per game, which ranks 10th in the league. Dallas ranks 20th in fast-break points given up per game (14.4).
- Dallas averages 47.2 points in the paint per game, which ranks 17th in the league. San Antonio ranks 18th in points allowed in the paint per game (49.4).
- The Mavericks rank third in second chance points per game (15.3) while the Spurs rank 23rd (11.7).
- The Mavericks rank fifth in blocks allowed per game (4.2) while the Spurs rank 13th (5.1).
- San Antonio ranks fourth in rebounds per game (47.5) while Dallas ranks 17th in rebounds allowed per game (46.3).
- When reaching the century mark, the Mavericks are 7-5 and the Spurs are 5-6.
- San Antonio is 1-3-1 ATS on the road, while Dallas is 1-5 ATS at home.
- The total has gone over in 3 of the Spurs’ 5 road games, while 3 of the Mavericks’ 6 home games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- The Mavericks are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Spurs are 0-4-1.
- In their last five games, Dallas has 3 unders and 2 overs, while San Antonio has 4 overs and 1 under.
- The Mavericks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 1.4, down from 2.9 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Spurs have scored an average of 112.6 points per game (0.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 121.8 points per game (7.3 above their season average).
