The San Antonio Spurs (36-29) will travel to State Farm Arena to meet the Atlanta Hawks (22-43). Action gets underway at 7:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, March 6, 2019, and can be seen on Fox Sports – Southeast.
San Antonio Spurs at Atlanta Hawks ATS Odds
In the Hawks’ last game, they were defeated by the Miami Heat, 114-113, but they were able to cover as 10-point underdogs. The Spurs, meanwhile, topped the Denver Nuggets, 104-103, but failed to cover as 1.5-point favorites. The Atlanta game went 5.5 points over the projected point total of 221.5, while the San Antonio game finished 23 points under the projected point total of 230.
San Antonio dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a free throw rate of 0.165 (matching their season average) and a turnover percentage of 8.8 (better than their season average of 11.0). Denver was 0.042 and 11.0, respectively, for those same stats. Atlanta, meanwhile, had an offensive rebounding percentage of 32.7 (above their season average of 24.8). Atlanta’s Kent Bazemore had a solid performance, recording 18 points and seven rebounds. Meanwhile, San Antonio rallied around DeMar DeRozan, who put up 24 points, seven assists and six rebounds.
This was a highly competitive series last year, as the teams split their two games last season. In the last matchup, the Hawks won 102-99. The Hawks’ offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest strength over the Spurs. Atlanta had a rate of 27.5, while San Antonio posted a mark of 17.0. This is the first time these teams will clash this year.
Vegas is known to set the total low when the Spurs are involved, as 58.5 percent of their games have gone over the O/U total. San Antonio holds records of 36-29 straight up (SU) and 34-30-1 against the spread (ATS).
Hawks games also have a tendency to finish over the total (56.9 percent). Additionally, Atlanta owns records of 22-43 SU and 31-34 ATS.
It will be a matchup of contrasting paces as the fast-paced Hawks (ranked first in the NBA in possessions per game) will look to push the more half-court-oriented Spurs (25th in possessions per game). Additionally, the Spurs rank fourth in offensive efficiency (111.3), while the Hawks rank 28th in defensive efficiency (111.6).
San Antonio Spurs vs. Atlanta Hawks Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Spurs, ATS Winner – Spurs, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Spurs average 24.4 assists per game, which ranks 16th in the NBA. The Hawks rank last in assists allowed per game (27.2).
- Atlanta ranks fourth in three pointers attempted per game (35.7) while San Antonio ranks last (24.8).
- The Hawks rank seventh in points in the paint per game (50.9) while the Spurs rank 27th (43.4).
- Atlanta ranks seventh in second chance points per game (13.8) while San Antonio ranks 27th (11.8).
- Atlanta ranks ninth in fast break points per game (15.1) while San Antonio ranks 25th (10.6).
- The Spurs rank eighth in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.3) while the Hawks rank last (22.3).
- The Spurs rank 10th in steals allowed per game (7.4) while the Hawks rank 29th (10.2).
- San Antonio ranks fourth in blocks allowed per game (4.3) while Atlanta ranks 24th (5.5).
- Atlanta is 3-2 when they allow under 100 points, while San Antonio is 12-3.
- When scoring over 100 points, the Spurs are 35-18 and the Hawks are 21-35.
- San Antonio is 14-18-1 ATS on the road, while Atlanta is 11-19 ATS at home.
- The total has gone over in 23 of the Spurs’ 33 road games, while 17 of the Hawks’ 30 home games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- The Hawks are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Spurs are 2-3.
- In their last five games, Atlanta has 4 overs and 1 under, while San Antonio has 4 unders and 1 over.
- The Hawks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 0.6, down from 6.7 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Spurs have scored an average of 105.6 points per game (6.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 105.8 points per game (5.3 below their season average).
