Saint Mary’s Gaels vs. Nevada Wolf Pack ATS Prediction 12/21/19

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The Saint Mary’s Gaels (11-2) square off against the Nevada Wolf Pack (8-4) at Chase Center. The game starts at 12:30 a.m. ET on Saturday, December 21, 2019, and will air on ESPNU.

Saint Mary’s Gaels vs. Nevada Wolf Pack ATS Odds

Both teams blew out their last opponent. The Wolf Pack defeated the Texas Southern Tigers 91-73, while the Gaels beat the Arizona State Sun Devils 96-56.

Saint Mary’s dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had an absurd effective field goal percentage of 0.737 (above their season average of 0.583) and a free throw rate of 0.211 (matching their season average). Arizona State was 0.383 and 0.109, respectively, for those same stats. The Wolf Pack, meanwhile, held the Tigers to an effective field goal percentage of 0.324 (below their season average of 0.436) and had a free throw rate of 0.509 (above their season average of 0.214). Lindsey Drew was a key piece for Nevada with 18 points and 10 rebounds. Jordan Ford, meanwhile played well for Saint Mary’s, recording 34 points and six rebounds.

It might be a tough matchup for Nevada on the offensive glass. The Wolf Pack rank 294th in offensive rebounding percentage (24.2 percent), while Saint Mary’s ranks 38th in defensive rebounding percentage (76.6 percent). Ball protection should be an advantage for the Gaels. They rank 13th at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 15.9 percent), while the Wolf Pack force the fourth-fewest turnovers in the country (opponents’ turnover percentage of 15.0 percent).

Saint Mary’s Gaels vs. Nevada Wolf Pack Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Saint Mary’s, ATS Winner – Saint Mary’s, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • Saint Mary’s ranks 20th in three pointers allowed per game (17.8) while Nevada ranks 216th (25.3).
  • The Gaels rank 18th in blocks allowed per game (2.2) while the Wolf Pack rank 37th (2.5).
  • Saint Mary’s allows the fourth-fewest steals per game (4.1) while Nevada ranks 10th (4.5).
  • The Gaels rank fourth in rebounds allowed per game (28.1) while the Wolf Pack rank 189th (37.2).
  • Saint Mary’s ranks 11th in assists allowed per game (8.8) while Nevada ranks 70th (11.5).

Bettings Trends:

  • During their last five games, the Wolf Pack have scored an average of 81.6 points per game (4.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 72.4 points per game (0.1 above their season average).
  • The Gaels’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 12.6, down from 14.8 for the season.