The UC Davis Aggies (2-1) and the Sacramento State Hornets (1-2) clash at Golden 1 Center. The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 136 points with UC Davis set as an 8-point favorite. Tip-off is set for 10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, November 21, 2017.
Sacramento State Hornets vs. UC Davis Aggies ATS Preview
In the Hornets last matchup, they lost to the San Francisco Dons, 69-56. Sacramento States Justin Strings had 14 points and seven rebounds in the contest. San Francisco had a much better turnover percentage (6.1 vs. 20.5). Sacramento State, on the other hand, did an excellent job of converting from the free throw line (15-21; 71.4 percent).
The Aggies are trying to rebound after their 80-71 loss to the Utah Valley Wolverines in their last game. Chima Moneke was UC Davis leading scorer with 18 points on 8-for-16 shooting. Utah Valley had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (39.3 vs. 29.0). UC Davis, meanwhile, had a better turnover percentage (17.3 vs. 17.9).
The offense of Sacramento State will go head-to-head against the stingy defense of UC Davis. Since last season, the Hornets rank 199th in offensive efficiency, while the Aggies are 83rd in defensive efficiency. The Aggies figure to have the advantage on that side of the ball.
Since last season, the Hornets have had records of 14-20 straight up (SU) and 17-13 against the spread (ATS). Since last season, Sacramento State games have had a tendency to go under the projected point total (56.7 percent).
Meanwhile, the Aggies, have records of 24-13 SU and 20-13-1 ATS since last season. Games including UC Davis have finished under the projected point total 58.8 percent of the time over that same time frame.
The Aggies won the sole game against the Hornets last season, 81-72. The Aggies dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a solid effective field goal percentage of 0.569 and an absurd offensive rebounding percentage of 33.3. For those same stats, the Hornets had marks of 0.425 and 28.6, respectively.
Sacramento State Hornets vs. UC Davis Aggies ATS Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – UC Davis, ATS Winner – Sacramento State, O/U – Under
Betting Notes (2016-Present):
- Sacramento State ranks 92nd in steals allowed per game (5.8) while UC Davis ranks 245th (7.0).
- The Hornets average 4.3 blocks per game, which ranks 63rd in the nation. The Aggies rank 152nd in blocks allowed per game (3.4).
- UC Davis ranks 295th in three pointers attempted per game (17.3) while Sacramento State ranks 306th (16.3).