Sacramento State Hornets at Montana State Bobcats Betting Prediction 12/28/19

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The Sacramento State Hornets (7-2) will be at Max Worthington Arena to take on the Montana State Bobcats (6-5) in a BigSky matchup. Action starts at 6 p.m. ET on Saturday, December 28, 2019.

Sacramento State Hornets at Montana State Bobcats ATS Odds

In their last outing, the Bobcats lost a close one to the Bakersfield Roadrunners, 74-72, while the Hornets won a close one over the Cal Poly Mustangs, 57-56.

Sacramento State dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a fantastic offensive rebounding percentage of 33.3 (above their season average of 32.7) and a turnover percentage of 14.7 (better than their season average of 18.0). Cal Poly had marks of 19.4 and 17.6, respectively, for those same stats. Montana State, on the other hand, had a free throw rate of 0.319 (above their season average of 0.228). Harald Frey played well for Montana State with 26 points and five assists. Joshua Patton had a solid performance for Sacramento State, recording 16 points and eight rebounds.

This series was highly competitive last year, as the teams split their two games last season. The Hornets won the last game 70-67. Sacramento State’s 0.262 free throw rate was their biggest strength over Montana State, who had a rate of 0.194.

Looking at effective field goal percentage, this appears to be a balanced matchup. Since the 2018-19 season, the Montana State offense ranks 44th in the NCAA in that metric at 0.539, while the Sacramento State defense ranks first in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.483).

Sacramento State Hornets at Montana State Bobcats Pick

Basketball Tip: SU Winner – Sacramento State, ATS Winner – Sacramento State, O/U – Under

Betting Notes (2018-Present):

  • Sacramento State ranks sixth in three pointers allowed per game (19.4) while Montana State ranks 188th (25.9).
  • The Bobcats rank 19th in blocks allowed per game (2.3) while the Hornets rank 65th (3.5).
  • Sacramento State ranks 50th in rebounds allowed per game (33.5) while Montana State ranks 78th (34.1).
  • The Hornets rank 18th in steals allowed per game (6.2) while the Bobcats rank 133rd (6.3).
  • Sacramento State ranks 12th in assists allowed per game (12.3) while Montana State ranks 109th (14.7).