Sacramento Kings vs. Phoenix Suns Betting Prediction 01/07/20

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The Sacramento Kings (14-23), 5.5-point underdogs, will be at Talking Stick Resort Arena to clash against the Phoenix Suns (14-22) in a Pacific Division matchup. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 226.5 points and it will air on NBC Sports – California at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 7, 2020.

Sacramento Kings vs. Phoenix Suns ATS Odds

The Kings beat the Golden State Warriors in their last outing, 111-98, comfortably covering as 2.5-point favorites. The Suns, meanwhile, were defeated by the Memphis Grizzlies, 121-114, resulting in a push. The Sacramento game finished 19 points under the projected point total of 228, while the Phoenix game finished 1 point under the projected point total of 236.

Sacramento’s effective field goal percentage was their largest advantage over Golden State. The Kings had a rate of 0.574 (above their season average of 0.520), while the Warriors posted a mark of 0.424 (below their season average of 0.487). Phoenix, on the other hand, held Memphis to an offensive rebounding percentage of 8.1 (below their season average of 22.2). Devin Booker played well for Phoenix, recording 40 points and six assists. Meanwhile, Trevor Ariza played a key role for Sacramento with 18 points and six rebounds.

The Suns lead the season series two games to one. The two teams combined for 222 points in their most recent game, which was just over the projected point total of 217. Phoenix won 112-110, covering as a 3-point underdog. Phoenix had a better offensive rebounding percentage (19.4 vs. 17.5). Sacramento, on the other hand, had a better free throw rate (0.190 vs. 0.151). Booker put up a double-double in the victory with 32 points and 10 assists.

Games involving the Kings have a tendency to finish under the total (55.6 percent). Sacramento comes into the game with records of 14-23 straight up (SU) and 18-18 against the spread (ATS).

Contrary to Sacramento, Suns games have a tendency to finish over the O/U total (58.3 percent). Phoenix has a respectable 20-15-1 record ATS, despite being 14-22 SU.

The Kings’ Buddy Hield has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 23 points,7.0 rebounds,4.2 assists per game. Meanwhile, Booker has averaged 34 points,7.0 assists during that same time frame for the Suns.

The physical Phoenix offense could be getting to the charity stripe a lot in this showdown. The Suns currently rank sixth in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.215, while Sacramento ranks 19th in FTA rate allowed (0.211). It could also be an error-filled game for the offense of the Kings, which ranks 25th in ball security (turnover percentage of 14.6 percent). They’ll be going up against the stingy defense of the Suns, which forces the third-most turnovers in the league (14.9 percent).

Sacramento Kings at Phoenix Suns Odds Pick

Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Suns, ATS Winner – Suns, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Kings rank first in fast break points allowed per game (11.2) while the Suns rank seventh (12.2).
  • Phoenix ranks first in assists per game (28.3) while Sacramento ranks 23rd (22.6).
  • The Suns average 18.7 points off turnovers per game, which ranks third in the NBA. The Kings rank 17th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.4).
  • Phoenix averages 7.8 steals per game, which ranks 11th in the NBA. Sacramento ranks 24th in steals allowed per game (8.2).
  • Sacramento ranks fourth in second chance points allowed per game (11.9) while Phoenix ranks 10th (12.6).
  • The Kings rank seventh in blocks allowed per game (4.4) while the Suns rank 26th (5.7).
  • The Kings rank fourth in rebounds allowed per game (43.1) while the Suns rank 13th (45.2).
  • Phoenix averages 33.9 three pointers per game, which ranks 11th in the league. Sacramento ranks 13th in three pointers allowed per game (33.3).
  • Phoenix ranks 10th in points in the paint per game (48.5) while Sacramento ranks 26th (44.1).
  • Sacramento is 7-2 when they allow under 100 points, while Phoenix is 2-2.
  • When scoring more than 100 points, the Kings are 13-16 and the Suns are 14-18.
  • Sacramento is 12-7 ATS on the road, while Phoenix is 10-9-1 ATS at home.
  • Of the Kings’ 19 road games, they have 10 unders and 9 overs.
  • The Suns have 14 overs and 6 unders in 20 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Suns are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Kings are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Phoenix has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Sacramento has 4 overs and 1 under.
  • During their last five games, the Suns have scored an average of 115.0 points per game (0.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 115.2 points per game (0.0 above their season average).
  • The Kings’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 1.4, down from 2.7 for the season.