Don’t expect a fast-paced game when the Sacramento Kings (6-3), 10-point underdogs, visit Milwaukee to take on the Bucks (7-1). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 234 points and it will air on Fox Sports Net Wisconsin at 3:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, November 4, 2018.
Sacramento Kings at Milwaukee Bucks ATS Odds
The Kings had no trouble getting past the Atlanta Hawks in their last contest, 146-115, easily covering as 2-point favorites. The Bucks, on the other hand, were beaten by the Boston Celtics, 117-113, and failed to cover as 2-point underdogs. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Sacramento game went 28 points over the projected point total of 233, while the Milwaukee game went 9.5 points over the projected point total of 220.5.
Sacramento dominated every stat category in the game. They had a turnover percentage of 11.1 (better than their season average of 12.3) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.612 (above their season average of 0.553). For those same stats, Atlanta was 17.7 and 0.529, respectively. Milwaukee, on the other hand, did a terrific job of getting and making free throws (22-30; 73.3 percent). Giannis Antetokounmpo had a good game for Milwaukee with 33 points and 11 rebounds. Sacramento, meanwhile, rallied around De’Aaron Fox, who notched his zeroth triple-double of the season. He took over, racking up 31 points, 15 assists and 10 rebounds.
The Bucks dominated this series last year, emerging victorious in both games. In the last contest, Milwaukee won 109-104. Milwaukee was successful at getting and making free throws. The Bucks made 35 of their 42 free throws (83.3 percent), while the Kings were 19-21 (90.5 percent).
Games featuring the Kings have a tendency to finish over the total (66.7 percent). Sacramento heads into the game with records of 6-3 straight up (SU) and 7-2 against the spread (ATS).
Coinciding with Sacramento, games featuring the Bucks also have typically finished over the O/U total (75.0 percent). Additionally, Milwaukee is 7-1 SU and 5-3 ATS.
Half-court execution will be at a premium when a pair of the league’s slowest-paced teams face off. Milwaukee ranks 27th in possessions per game (98.5) and Sacramento is 28th (98.2) dating back to the 2017-18 season.
Kings at Bucks Betting Pick
Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Under
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
- The Kings rank 26th in second chance points per game (11.5) while the Bucks rank 29th (10.4).
- Milwaukee ranks seventh in blocks per game (5.6) while Sacramento ranks 25th (4.2).
- The Bucks average 8.4 steals per game, which ranks seventh in the league. The Kings rank 19th in steals allowed per game (7.8).
- Milwaukee ranks third in fast break points allowed per game (10.0) while Sacramento ranks 15th (12.7).
- Milwaukee ranks eighth in points off turnovers per game (17.8) while Sacramento ranks 11th in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.7).
- The Bucks rank eighth in three pointers allowed per game (28.2) while the Kings rank 26th (31.9).
- The Bucks average 23.4 assists per game, which ranks 14th in the NBA. The Kings rank 18th in assists allowed per game (23.8).
- Sacramento ranks 27th in rebounds per game (41.4) while Milwaukee ranks 29th (40.9).
- Sacramento ranks fourth in points allowed in the paint per game (43.5) while Milwaukee ranks 17th (46.5).
- In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Sacramento is 20-7 and Milwaukee is 21-6.
- When scoring above 100 points, the Bucks are 47-23 and the Kings are 22-24.
