Sacramento Kings vs. Los Angeles Lakers Free Prediction

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The Sacramento Kings (24-53) will be at Staples Center to take on the Los Angeles Lakers (33-42) in a Pacific Division matchup. Action gets underway at 9:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, April 1, 2018, and can be seen on NBATV.

Sacramento Kings at Los Angeles Lakers ATS Odds

Both teams fell in their last contest. The Lakers lost a tough one against the Milwaukee Bucks, 124-122, while the Kings lost to the Golden State Warriors, 112-96.

Sacramento held Golden State to an offensive rebounding percentage of 14.3 (below their season average of 21.4) while Los Angeles had an offensive rebounding percentage of 32.6 (above their season average of 23.7). Los Angeles Kyle Kuzma played well, putting up 27 points, 12 rebounds and six assists. DeAaron Fox played a pivotal role for Sacramento with 15 points and eight assists.

Conflicting tempos will be on display in this showdown. Los Angeles prefers an up-and-down style of play (first in possessions per game), while Sacramento is methodical (27th in possessions per game). ,

Kings games have a slight tendency to go over the total (51.3 percent). Sacramento heads into the game with records of 24-53 straight up (SU) and 36-37-3 against the spread (ATS).

Much like Sacramento, a little over half of Lakers games have finished over the projected point total. Further, Los Angeles owns records of 33-42 SU and 39-35-1 ATS.

The Kings Buddy Hield has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 18.2 points and 1.6 steals per game. Meanwhile, Julius Randle has averaged 21.4 points and 10.2 rebounds during that same time frame for the Lakers.

The Lakers lead the season series two games to one. In their most recent game, the two teams combined for 221 points, just over the projected point total of 220.5. Los Angeles won 113-108, covering as a 1.5-point favorite. Los Angeles free throw rate was their biggest strength over Sacramento. The Lakers had a rate of 0.154, while the Kings posted a mark of 0.117. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope was the games leading scorer with 34 points.

Sacramento Kings at Los Angeles Lakers Betting Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Lakers, ATS Winner – Lakers, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Lakers average 23.9 assists per game, which ranks seventh in the NBA. The Kings rank 21st in assists allowed per game (24.1).
  • Los Angeles ranks second in rebounds per game (46.4) while Sacramento ranks 28th (40.7).
  • The Lakers rank second in fast break points per game (17.3) while the Kings rank 21st (10.4).
  • Sacramento ranks 10th in blocks allowed per game (4.6) while Los Angeles ranks 26th (5.5).
  • Sacramento ranks 12th in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.7) while Los Angeles ranks 26th (18.5).
  • The Kings rank fifth in points allowed in the paint per game (42.2) while the Lakers rank 29th (48.8).
  • The Lakers average 29.0 three pointers per game, which ranks 15th in the league. The Kings rank 29th in three pointers allowed per game (31.7).
  • Sacramento ranks 10th in steals per game (7.9) while Los Angeles ranks 22nd in steals allowed per game (8.2).
  • Los Angeles ranks second in second chance points per game (14.3) while Sacramento ranks 22nd (11.4).
  • Sacramento is 15-5 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Los Angeles is 13-4.
  • The Lakers are 30-28 when they reach 100 points, while the Kings are 17-21.
  • Sacramento is 18-16-3 ATS on the road, while Los Angeles is 20-16 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone over in 18 of the Lakers 36 home games, while 19 of the Kings 37 road games have gone over.

Betting Trends:

  • The Lakers are 2-2-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Kings are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Los Angeles has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Sacramento has 4 unders and 1 over.
  • During their last five games, the Lakers have scored an average of 111.2 points per game (2.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 110.0 points per game (0.1 above their season average).
  • The Kings average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 4.2, down from 7.4 for the season.