The Utah Jazz (48-30) and the Sacramento Kings (39-40) square off at Vivint Smart Home Arena. The Jazz are a 10.5-point favorite and look to extend their six-game winning streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 224 points and it starts at 9 p.m. ET on Friday, April 5, 2019.
Sacramento Kings at Utah Jazz ATS Odds
Both teams covered in their last game. The Jazz (10.5-point favorites) defeated the Phoenix Suns 118-97, while the Kings (6-point underdog) beat the Cleveland Cavaliers 117-104. Both games finished 4.5 points under their projected point totals (219.5 for the Utah game and 225.5 for the Sacramento game).
The Kings had an extraordinarily low turnover percentage of 5.6 (better than their season average of 11.2), while the Cavaliers had a free throw rate of 0.062 (below their season average of 0.189). The Jazz, meanwhile, knocked down 14 of their 18 free throws (77.8 percent) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.675 (above their season average of 0.536). Utah received a boost from Rudy Gobert, who finished with 17 points, 13 rebounds and five blocks. De’Aaron Fox played a pivotal role for Sacramento with 16 points and 10 assists.
The Jazz lead the season series two games to one. The two teams combined for 245 points in their most recent game, which was well over the projected point total of 219. Utah won 133-112, covering as a 3.5-point favorite. Utah out-rebounded Sacramento. The Jazz had more offensive rebounds (13 vs. seven), defensive rebounds (36 vs. 29) and total rebounds (49 vs. 36). Gobert put up a double-double in the victory with 18 points and 15 rebounds.
Vegas is extremely accurate when predicting totals of Kings games, with an even split between overs and unders. Sacramento comes into the contest with records of 39-40 straight up (SU) and 44-33-1 against the spread (ATS).
Coinciding with Sacramento, a little over half of Jazz games have finished under the projected point total. Additionally, Utah is 48-30 SU and 41-35-2 ATS.
The aggressive Utah offense could be living from the free throw line in this contest. The Jazz rank fifth in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.215, while Sacramento ranks 24th in FTA rate allowed (0.209).
Sacramento Kings vs. Utah Jazz Free Pick
Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Jazz, ATS Winner – Jazz, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Jazz rank first in assists allowed per game (21.4) while the Kings rank 18th (24.6).
- Utah ranks second in rebounds allowed per game (42.5) while Sacramento ranks last (47.9).
- The Jazz rank third in second chance points allowed per game (11.1) while the Kings rank 26th (14.3).
- Utah ranks third in blocks per game (5.9) while Sacramento ranks 23rd (4.5).
- Sacramento ranks second in points off turnovers per game (19.4) while Utah ranks 21st in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.1).
- The Jazz rank second in three pointers allowed per game (27.9) while the Kings rank 29th (34.7).
- The Kings average 8.3 steals per game, which ranks ninth in the NBA. The Jazz rank 28th in steals allowed per game (8.6).
- Utah ranks ninth in points allowed in the paint per game (47.2) while Sacramento ranks 25th (51.2).
- Sacramento ranks first in fast break points per game (21.2) while Utah ranks 27th (10.4).
- Sacramento is 10-0 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Utah is 21-4.
- The Jazz are 46-18 when they score more than 100 points, while the Kings are 37-36.
- Sacramento is 20-19 ATS on the road, while Utah is 19-19-1 ATS at home.
- Of the Kings’ 39 road games, they have 22 overs and 17 unders.
- Of the Jazz’s 39 home games, they have 21 unders and 18 overs.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Sacramento and Utah are both 2-3 ATS.
- The Kings have 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games, while the Jazz have 3 unders and 2 overs
- During their last five games, the Kings have scored an average of 112.2 points per game (1.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 116.0 points per game (1.2 above their season average).
- The Jazz’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 16.4, up from 5.3 for the season.
