Sacramento Kings at Philadelphia 76ers Free Prediction 03/15/19

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The Philadelphia 76ers (43-25) will be at home in the Wells Fargo Center when they meet the Sacramento Kings (33-34). The game is scheduled to start at 7 p.m. ET on Friday, March 15, 2019.

Sacramento Kings vs. Philadelphia 76ers Betting Odds

Neither team was able to cover in their last outing. The 76ers (15-point favorites) beat the Cleveland Cavaliers, 106-99, while the Kings (2.5-point underdogs) were defeated by the Boston Celtics, 126-120. The Philadelphia game finished 18.5 points under the projected point total of 223.5, while the Sacramento game went 7 points over the projected point total of 239.

Philadelphia dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a free throw rate of 0.165 (below their season average of 0.245) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 30.0 (above their season average of 24.3). For those same stats, Cleveland was 0.059 and 15.8, respectively. Sacramento, on the other hand, had a better turnover percentage (8.7 vs. 10.7). Ben Simmons played well for Philadelphia, finishing with 26 points, 10 rebounds and eight assists. Buddy Hield, meanwhile fueled Sacramento with 34 points and seven assists.

In their first matchup this season, Hield led the Kings to a 115-108 victory. He scored a game-high 34 points. Sacramento covered as a 3-point underdog and the two teams combined to score 223 points, which was under the projected point total of 232.5. Sacramento’s 0.516 effective field goal percentage was its largest strength over Philadelphia, who had a mark of 0.478.

Games including the Kings have gone under the projected point total 51.5 percent of the time. Sacramento comes into the game with records of 33-34 straight up (SU) and 38-27-1 against the spread (ATS).

Much like Sacramento, a little over half of 76ers games have finished under the total. Additionally, Philadelphia is 43-25 SU and 32-36 ATS.

It could be a sloppy game for the Philadelphia offense. Philadelphia ranks 28th in the league in ball protection (turnover percentage of 14.6 percent), while the disruptive defense of Sacramento forces the fifth-most turnovers in the league (14.8 percent).

Sacramento Kings vs. Philadelphia 76ers Betting Pick

NBA Prediction: SU Winner – 76ers, ATS Winner – 76ers, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Kings average 8.4 steals per game, which ranks ninth in the NBA. The 76ers rank 22nd in steals allowed per game (8.2).
  • Philadelphia ranks third in three pointers allowed per game (29.5) while Sacramento ranks 29th (34.3).
  • The 76ers rank seventh in second chance points allowed per game (12.4) while the Kings rank 28th (14.5).
  • Sacramento puts up 21.0 fast-break points per game, which ranks first in the NBA. Philadelphia ranks 19th in fast-break points allowed per game (14.0).
  • Sacramento ranks seventh in points in the paint per game (51.2) while Philadelphia ranks 21st in points allowed in the paint per game (50.7).
  • The 76ers average 47.4 rebounds per game, which ranks fourth in the league. The Kings rank last in rebounds allowed per game (48.7).
  • The 76ers rank third in blocks allowed per game (4.0) while the Kings rank 17th (5.2).
  • Philadelphia ranks third in assists per game (27.1) while Sacramento ranks 16th in assists allowed per game (24.6).
  • Sacramento ranks second in points off turnovers per game (19.6) while Philadelphia ranks 23rd in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.7).
  • In games where they allow less than 100 points, Sacramento is 10-0 and Philadelphia is 11-0.
  • The 76ers are 43-20 when they score over 100 points, while the Kings are 31-30.
  • Sacramento is 16-16 ATS on the road, while Philadelphia is 19-17 ATS at home.
  • In 32 road games, the Kings have 18 overs and 14 unders.
  • The 76ers have 18 unders, 17 overs and 1 push in 36 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Sacramento and Philadelphia have both had 5 unders.
  • The 76ers are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Kings are 1-3-1.
  • The 76ers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 3.0, down from 3.3 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Kings have scored an average of 112.2 points per game (1.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 112.0 points per game (3.0 below their season average).