Sacramento Kings at Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Prediction

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The Oklahoma City Thunder (0-2) get their home schedule underway at Chesapeake Energy Arena against the Sacramento Kings (0-2). Action begins at 7 p.m. ET on Sunday, October 21, 2018, and can be seen on NBC Sports – California.

Sacramento Kings vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Odds

Both teams failed to cover as underdogs in their last contest. The Thunder (3-point underdogs) were defeated by the Los Angeles Clippers, 108-92, while the Kings (11.5-point underdogs) fell to the New Orleans Pelicans, 149-129. The Oklahoma City game finished 14 points under the projected point total of 214, while the Sacramento game finished 45.5 points over the projected point total of 232.5.

Sacramento had a better turnover percentage (10.8 vs. 12.7) while Oklahoma City had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (28.3 vs. 19.6). Oklahoma City’s Steven Adams had a solid performance, putting up 17 points and 18 rebounds. Meanwhile, Marvin Bagley III played a key role for Sacramento with 19 points and eight rebounds.

Oklahoma City appears to have an edge on the offensive glass in this meeting. Since last season, the Thunder rank first in offensive rebounding percentage (27.2 percent), while Sacramento ranks 14th in defensive rebounding percentage (77.6 percent). ,

Since last season, the Kings are 27-57 straight up (SU) and 41-40-3 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Sacramento games since last season with 46 unders compared to 37 overs.

The Thunder, meanwhile, are 48-36 SU and 48-40-1 ATS since last season. Games involving Oklahoma City have gone under the projected point total 56.2 percent of the time over that same period.

The Thunder edged out the Kings in this series last year, winning three out of four games. In the last matchup, Oklahoma City won 106-101. Oklahoma City’s free throw rate was their largest strength over Sacramento. The Thunder had a rate of 0.167, while the Kings posted a mark of 0.140.

Sacramento Kings at Oklahoma City Thunder Pick

Free Pick: SU Winner – Thunder, ATS Winner – Thunder, O/U – Under

Betting Notes (2017-Present):

  • The Kings rank fifth in points allowed in the paint per game (42.7) while the Thunder rank eighth (43.7).
  • Oklahoma City ranks first in points off turnovers per game (18.8) while Sacramento ranks 24th (15.4).
  • The Thunder average 30.4 three pointers per game, which ranks 11th in the NBA. The Kings rank 29th in three pointers allowed per game (31.5).
  • Oklahoma City ranks first in steals per game (9.0) while Sacramento ranks 17th in steals allowed per game (7.7).
  • Oklahoma City ranks 12th in blocks per game (5.0) while Sacramento ranks 25th (4.1).
  • The Thunder rank first in second chance points per game (15.1) while the Kings rank 24th (11.3).
  • The Thunder rank fifth in fast break points per game (15.0) while the Kings rank 20th (10.7).
  • Sacramento ranks 26th in assists per game (21.5) while Oklahoma City ranks 29th (21.0).
  • Oklahoma City ranks fifth in rebounds per game (45.1) while Sacramento ranks 28th (40.9).
  • Sacramento is 18-7 when they allow under 100 points, while Oklahoma City is 23-6.
  • When reaching 100 points, the Thunder are 46-20 and the Kings are 17-23.