Sacramento Kings at New Orleans Pelicans Free Prediction 03/28/19

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Expect a fast-paced game when the Sacramento Kings (37-37) travel to New Orleans to take on the Pelicans (31-45). The game will air on NBC Sports – California at 8 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 28, 2019.

Sacramento Kings vs. New Orleans Pelicans Betting Odds

In the Kings’ last game, they covered the 2-point spread against the Dallas Mavericks, 125-121. The Pelicans, on the other hand, were beaten by the Atlanta Hawks, 130-120, and failed to cover as 2.5-point underdogs. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Sacramento game went 20 points over the projected point total of 226, while the New Orleans game went 7.5 points over the projected point total of 242.5.

The Kings had a turnover percentage of 6.5 (better than their season average of 11.3) and had an offensive rebounding percentage of 27.9 (above their season average of 22.8). New Orleans, on the other hand, did a great job of getting and making free throws (30-40; 75.0 percent). Christian Wood played a pivotal role for New Orleans with 23 points, nine rebounds and six blocks. Meanwhile, Sacramento was lifted by De’Aaron Fox, who had 23 points, eight assists and five rebounds.

The Kings had the upper hand in the most recent game, a 122-117 win, to even the season series at one. Anthony Davis had a double-double in the loss, with 26 points and 17 rebounds. Sacramento had a better turnover percentage (7.3 vs. 10.1). New Orleans, on the other hand, had a better offensive rebounding percentage (24.0 vs. 20.7). Sacramento covered as a 1-point underdog and the two teams combined for 239 points, which was just over the projected point total of 238.

Games including the Kings have no tendency in regards to the O/U total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under. Sacramento comes into the game with records of 37-37 straight up (SU) and 43-30-1 against the spread (ATS).

Contrary to Sacramento, Pelicans games have a slight tendency to finish over the total (52.6 percent). Additionally, New Orleans owns records of 31-45 SU and 35-40-1 ATS.

The Kings’ Marvin Bagley III has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 22 points,10.0 rebounds,1.2 blocks per game. Meanwhile, Frank Jackson has averaged 16 points,3.2 assists during that same time frame for the Pelicans.

There could be plenty of transition action in this showdown that showcases two of the league’s more up-and-down teams. New Orleans currently ranks fourth in possessions per game (105.8) and Sacramento is fifth (105.3). Also, the Kings rank fifth in turnover percentage (12.5 percent), while the Pelicans rank 21st in opponents’ turnover percentage (12.6 percent).

Kings at Pelicans Pick

Free Pick: SU Winner – Pelicans, ATS Winner – Pelicans, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Pelicans rank seventh in blocks per game (5.4) while the Kings rank 20th in blocks allowed per game (5.2).
  • Sacramento averages 19.6 points off turnovers per game, which ranks first in the NBA. New Orleans ranks 26th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.0).
  • The Kings average 21.2 fast break points per game, which ranks first in the league. The Pelicans rank 25th in fast break points allowed per game (15.2).
  • New Orleans ranks fifth in second chance points per game (14.4) while Sacramento ranks 27th in second chance points allowed per game (14.4).
  • Sacramento ranks 11th in assists per game (25.6) while New Orleans ranks 29th in assists allowed per game (26.6).
  • The Pelicans rank fifth in rebounds per game (47.2) while the Kings rank last in rebounds allowed per game (48.2).
  • The Kings rank sixth in steals per game (8.4) while the Pelicans rank 26th in steals allowed per game (8.4).
  • New Orleans averages 29.6 three pointers per game, which ranks 21st in the NBA. Sacramento ranks 28th in three pointers allowed per game (34.4).
  • New Orleans averages 58.2 points in the paint per game, which ranks first in the league. Sacramento ranks 25th in points allowed in the paint per game (51.3).
  • When holding opponents below 100 points, Sacramento is 10-0 and New Orleans is 5-2.
  • The Kings are 35-33 when they reach the century mark, while the Pelicans are 31-37.
  • Sacramento is 19-17 ATS on the road, while New Orleans is 16-21 ATS at home.
  • Of the Kings’ 36 road games, they have 21 overs and 15 unders.
  • The Pelicans have 18 overs, 18 unders and 1 push in 37 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Kings are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Pelicans are 1-4.
  • In their last five games, Sacramento has 3 unders and 2 overs, while New Orleans has 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • During their last five games, the Kings have scored an average of 116.0 points per game (1.9 above their season average) and allowed an average of 111.6 points per game (3.1 below their season average).
  • The Pelicans’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 10.8, up from 0.9 for the season.