Sacramento Kings at Minnesota Timberwolves ATS Prediction 02/25/19

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The Sacramento Kings (31-28) will travel to the Target Center to square off against the Minnesota Timberwolves (28-31). Action gets underway at 8 p.m. ET on Monday, February 25, 2019, and can be seen on Fox Sports – North.

Sacramento Kings vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Odds

In their last game, the Kings (5.5-point underdogs) covered in a 119-116 victory over the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Timberwolves were defeated by the Milwaukee Bucks, 140-128, but did cover as 13-point underdogs. The Sacramento game finished 5 points under the projected point total of 240, while the Minnesota game went 35.5 points over the projected point total of 232.5.

Sacramento dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had an absurdly low turnover percentage of 7.5 (better than their season average of 11.7) and a free throw rate of 0.250 (above their season average of 0.174). For those same stats, Oklahoma City was 10.7 and 0.210, respectively. Minnesota, meanwhile, had a better turnover percentage (8.3 vs. 9.5). Minnesota was led by Andrew Wiggins, who put up 18 points and nine rebounds. Meanwhile, Buddy Hield fueled Sacramento with 34 points and five rebounds.

In three contests against each other this year, the Kings have won two. The two teams combined to score 237 points in their most recent game, which was over the projected point total of 231. Sacramento lost 132-105, covering as an 8-point underdog. Minnesota’s rebounding was their biggest strength. The Timberwolves had 11 offensive rebounds and 58 total rebounds, while the Kings had six and 38, respectively. Karl-Anthony Towns put up a double-double in the victory with 14 points and 14 rebounds.

A little over half of the Kings’ games have finished over the projected point total. Sacramento holds records of 31-28 straight up (SU) and 36-23 against the spread (ATS).

Much like Sacramento, Timberwolves games have gone over the projected point total 54.2 percent of the time. Further, Minnesota owns records of 28-31 SU and 31-28 ATS.

Ball protection could play a significant role in this meeting. Minnesota commits the third-fewest miscues in the NBA (turnover percentage of 12.3 percent), while the gambling defense of Sacramento forces the fifth-most (opponents’ turnover percentage of 14.9 percent).

Sacramento Kings at Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Pick

NBA Pick: SU Winner – Timberwolves, ATS Winner – Timberwolves, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Kings rank 18th in blocks allowed per game (5.2) while the Timberwolves rank 25th (5.6).
  • Minnesota ranks first in second chance points per game (15.7). Sacramento ranks 28th in second chance points allowed per game (15.0).
  • The Timberwolves average 49.3 points in the paint per game, which ranks 10th in the league. The Kings rank 26th in points allowed in the paint per game (51.4).
  • Sacramento averages 25.6 assists per game, which ranks ninth in the NBA. Minnesota ranks 23rd in assists allowed per game (25.4).
  • Sacramento ranks second in points off turnovers per game (20.2) while Minnesota ranks 10th (17.8).
  • The Timberwolves rank first in steals allowed per game (6.5) while the Kings rank 20th (7.8).
  • The Timberwolves rank 17th in rebounds allowed per game (45.0) while the Kings rank 29th (48.4).
  • Minnesota ranks 24th in three pointers allowed per game (33.2) while Sacramento ranks 29th (34.4).
  • Sacramento averages 21.7 fast break points per game, which ranks first in the league. Minnesota ranks 18th in fast break points allowed per game (13.9).
  • In games where they allow under 100 points, Sacramento is 9-0 and Minnesota is 10-0.
  • When scoring over 100 points, the Timberwolves are 27-25 and the Kings are 29-24.
  • Minnesota is 16-13 ATS at home, while Sacramento is 15-14 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone over in 17 of the Timberwolves’ 29 home games, while 18 of the Kings’ 29 road games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Sacramento and Minnesota are both 5-0 ATS.
  • The Kings have 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games, while the Timberwolves have 4 overs and 1 under
  • The Kings have outscored opponents by an average of 3.6 points in their last five games. For the season, Sacramento has lost by an average of 1.2 points.
  • During their last five games, the Timberwolves have scored an average of 122.2 points per game (10.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 119.4 points per game (7.3 above their season average).