The Sacramento Kings (12-16) will travel to FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies (10-19). The game starts at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, December 21, 2019, and will air on Fox Sports – Southeast.
Sacramento Kings at Memphis Grizzlies ATS Odds
Both teams lost in their last contest. The Grizzlies (6.5-point underdogs) were defeated by the Cleveland Cavaliers, 114-107, while the Kings (5.5-point favorites) fell to the Indiana Pacers, 119-105. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Memphis game went 2 points over the projected point total of 219, while the Sacramento game went 16 points over the projected point total of 208.
Sacramento had an offensive rebounding percentage of 28.9 (above their season average of 22.6) while Memphis had a turnover percentage of 6.2 (better than their season average of 13.5). Jonas Valanciunas had a good game for Memphis, contributing 14 points and 14 rebounds. Meanwhile, Sacramento was led by Richaun Holmes, who recorded 20 points and nine rebounds.
The Kings edged out the Grizzlies in this series last year, winning three out of four games. In the last game, Sacramento won 99-96. The Kings’ offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest strength over the Grizzlies. Sacramento had a rate of 25.5, while Memphis posted a mark of 19.6. This is the first time these teams will battle this year.
Vegas has a tendency to set the total high when the Kings are playing, as 63.0 percent of their contests have finished under the total. Sacramento holds records of 12-16 straight up (SU) and 16-11 against the spread (ATS).
Vegas is extremely accurate when predicting totals of Grizzlies games, with an even split between overs and unders. Further, Memphis owns records of 10-19 SU and 13-15 ATS.
This has potential to be a mistake-prone game for the offense of Memphis. Memphis ranks 21st in the NBA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 14.6 percent), while the gambling defense of Sacramento forces the sixth-most turnovers in the NBA (15.0 percent).
Sacramento Kings vs. Memphis Grizzlies ATS Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Kings, ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Kings average 34.6 three pointers per game, which ranks 12th in the NBA. The Grizzlies rank 20th in three pointers allowed per game (34.3).
- Memphis ranks first in points in the paint per game (54.0) while Sacramento ranks 29th (41.8).
- The Kings rank ninth in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.6) while the Grizzlies rank 28th (20.1).
- Sacramento ranks fifth in second chance points allowed per game (12.0) while Memphis ranks 22nd (14.1).
- Sacramento ranks 14th in blocks allowed per game (4.8) while Memphis ranks 27th (6.0).
- The Kings rank first in fast break points allowed per game (10.1) while the Grizzlies rank 24th (14.7).
- The Grizzlies rank 16th in rebounds per game (45.2) while the Kings rank last (41.3).
- Memphis ranks 11th in steals per game (8.1) while Sacramento ranks 17th in steals allowed per game (8.1).
- Memphis ranks third in assists per game (26.8) while Sacramento ranks 24th (22.5).
- Sacramento is 6-2 when they hold opponents under 100 points.
- When scoring over 100 points, the Grizzlies are 10-14 and the Kings are 11-10.
- Sacramento is 11-5 ATS on the road, while Memphis is 7-9 ATS at home.
- The total has gone over in 9 of the Grizzlies’ 16 home games, while 10 of the Kings’ 16 road games have gone under.
Bettings Trends:
- The Grizzlies are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Kings are 2-3.
- In their last five games, Memphis has 4 overs and 1 under, while Sacramento has 3 unders and 2 overs.
- During their last five games, the Grizzlies have scored an average of 117.8 points per game (7.3 above their season average) and allowed an average of 117.8 points per game (1.5 above their season average).
- The Kings’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 0.4, down from 2.7 for the season.
