It will be a clash between two great offenses when the Los Angeles Clippers (19-14), 5-point favorites, take on the Sacramento Kings (18-15) at Staples Center. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 236.5 points and it will air on NBC Sports – California at 10:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, December 26, 2018.
Sacramento Kings at Los Angeles Clippers ATS Odds
In their last matchup, the Kings (1-point underdogs) covered in a 122-117 win over the New Orleans Pelicans. The Clippers were defeated by the Golden State Warriors, 129-127, but did cover as 11-point underdogs. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Sacramento game went 1 point over the projected point total of 238, while the Los Angeles game finished 21.5 points over the projected point total of 234.5.
Sacramento’s 7.3 turnover percentage was their largest advantage over New Orleans, who had a mark of 10.1. The Kings’ mark was better than their season average of 11.8. Los Angeles, on the other hand, had an effective field goal percentage of 0.650 (above their season average of 0.527). Los Angeles’ Danilo Gallinari had a good outing, putting up 25 points and 11 rebounds. Willie Cauley-Stein played a pivotal role for Sacramento with 22 points and 17 rebounds.
In their first matchup this season, Tobias Harris led the Clippers to a 133-121 victory. He was the game’s top overall scorer with 28 points. Los Angeles covered as a 2-point favorite and the two teams combined for 254 points, which was well over the projected point total of 236. Los Angeles made 12 of their 28 three pointers (42.9 percent). Sacramento was, on the other hand, 7-24 (29.2 percent).
Vegas tends to place the total low when the Kings are involved, as 66.7 percent of their contests have gone over the O/U total. Sacramento heads into the game with records of 18-15 straight up (SU) and 21-12 against the spread (ATS).
Coinciding with Sacramento, Clippers games also have typically gone over the O/U total (63.6 percent). Additionally, Los Angeles is 19-14 SU and 19-14 ATS.
The Kings’ Buddy Hield has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 28 points per game. Meanwhile, Gallinari has averaged 24 points during that same time frame for the Clippers.
Los Angeles could dominate on the offensive side of the ball as their high-octane offense faces off against one of the NBA’s worst defenses. The Clippers currently rank fifth in offensive efficiency, while Sacramento ranks 21st in defensive efficiency. Furthermore, the Kings rank fifth in turnover percentage (12.8 percent), while the Clippers rank 30th in opponents’ turnover percentage (11.1 percent).
Sacramento Kings vs. Los Angeles Clippers Odds Pick
NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Clippers, ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Kings rank 18 in blocks allowed per game (5.303030303030303) while the Clippers rank 26 (6).
- Sacramento ranks first in points off turnovers per game (21.0) while Los Angeles ranks 28th (14.2).
- The Clippers average 51.0 points in the paint per game, which ranks eighth in the league. The Kings rank 28th in points allowed in the paint per game (52.9).
- Los Angeles averages 45.7 rebounds per game, which ranks 12th in the NBA. Sacramento ranks last in rebounds allowed per game (48.6).
- Sacramento averages 13.030303030303031 second chance points per game, which ranks 16 in the NBA. Los Angeles ranks 27 in second chance points allowed per game (14.909090909090908).
- The Kings rank first in fast break points per game (22.3) while the Clippers rank 25th in fast break points allowed per game (15.4).
- The Kings rank 13 in steals per game (8.181818181818182) while the Clippers rank last (5.757575757575758).
- Sacramento ranks 6 in assists per game (25.484848484848484) while Los Angeles ranks 14 in assists allowed per game (23.939393939393938).
- Los Angeles ranks fourth in three pointers allowed per game (29.1) while Sacramento ranks 27th (33.8).
- In games where they allow less than 100 points, Los Angeles is 3-1 and Sacramento is 5-0.
- In games where they score over 100 points, the Clippers are 19-9 and the Kings are 17-13.
- Sacramento is 10-7 ATS on the road, while Los Angeles is 10-5 ATS at home.
- The total has gone over in 14 of the Kings’ 17 road games, while 10 of the Clippers’ 15 home games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Sacramento and Los Angeles have both had 4 overs and 1 under.
- The Clippers are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Kings are 3-2.
- During their last five games, the Clippers have scored an average of 123.0 points per game (7.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 120.4 points per game (5.8 above their season average).
- The Kings’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 6.2, up from 1.3 for the season.
