The Sacramento Kings (37-38) will travel to the Toyota Center to square off with the Houston Rockets (48-28). The Kings opened as 9.5-point underdogs. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 227.5 points and it will air on ATTSN Southwest at 6 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 30, 2019.
Sacramento Kings vs. Houston Rockets ATS Odds
The Rockets come in on a high note after comfortably covering the 5.5-point spread against the Denver Nuggets in their last contest, 112-85. The Kings, meanwhile, were defeated by the New Orleans Pelicans, 121-118, and were not able to cover as 6.5-point underdogs. The Houston game finished 19.5 points under the projected point total of 216.5, while the Sacramento game went 4.5 points over the projected point total of 234.5.
Houston played a nearly flawless game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 26.2 (above their season average of 23.0) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.546 (above their season average of 0.537). Denver was 16.7 and 0.393, respectively, for those same stats. Sacramento, meanwhile, held New Orleans to an offensive rebounding percentage of 16.3 (below their season average of 24.4). Houston was led by James Harden, who contributed 38 points, six rebounds and six assists. Meanwhile, De’Aaron Fox had a good game for Sacramento, recording 25 points, 12 assists and five rebounds.
The Rockets have won both contests against the Kings this year. The two teams combined for 228 points in their most recent game, which was under the projected point total of 236. Houston won 127-101, covering as a 3.5-point favorite. The Rockets’ turnover percentage was their largest strength over the Kings. Houston had a rate of 9.2, while Sacramento posted a mark of 18.1. In the victory, Harden led all scorers with 36 points.
Just over half of the Kings’ games have finished over the total. Sacramento heads into the game with records of 37-38 straight up (SU) and 43-31-1 against the spread (ATS).
Of the Rockets’ 76 games, 39 have finished under the total. Additionally, Houston is 48-28 SU and 35-38-3 ATS.
The aggressive Houston offense looks poised to dominate from the foul line. The Rockets rank third in the NBA with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.224, while Sacramento ranks 24th in FTA rate allowed (0.213). It will also be a tale of two styles as the up-tempo Kings rank fifth in possessions per game, while the more half-court oriented Rockets rank 23rd.
Sacramento Kings vs. Houston Rockets ATS Pick
Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Rockets, ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Rockets rank 17th in second chance points per game (13.1) while the Kings rank 25th in second chance points allowed per game (14.4).
- Houston averages 44.8 three pointers per game, which ranks first in the NBA. Sacramento ranks 29th in three pointers allowed per game (34.3).
- The Kings rank first in fast break points per game (21.3) while the Rockets rank 19th (11.8).
- Sacramento ranks 11th in assists per game (25.6) while Houston ranks 28th (20.9).
- Houston ranks fifth in steals per game (8.6) while Sacramento ranks 17th in steals allowed per game (7.7).
- The Kings rank sixth in points in the paint per game (51.8) while the Rockets rank last (42.2).
- The Kings rank 14th in rebounds per game (45.6) while the Rockets rank 28th (41.8).
- Houston ranks 18th in blocks per game (5.0) while Sacramento ranks 21st in blocks allowed per game (5.2).
- Sacramento ranks first in points off turnovers per game (19.5) while Houston ranks 19th in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.8).
- In games where they allow below 100 points, Houston is 14-2 and Sacramento is 10-0.
- The Rockets are 45-19 when they score above 100 points, while the Kings are 35-34.
- Sacramento is 19-18 ATS on the road, while Houston is 20-16-2 ATS at home.
- The total has gone over in 21 of the Rockets’ 38 home games, while 22 of the Kings’ 37 road games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- The Rockets are 2-2-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Kings are 2-3.
- In their last five games, Houston has 4 unders and 1 over, while Sacramento has 3 unders and 2 overs.
- The Rockets’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 8.2, up from 3.5 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Kings have scored an average of 115.4 points per game (1.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 111.2 points per game (3.6 below their season average).
