The undefeated Denver Nuggets (3-0), 11.5-point favorites, look to remain unbeaten when they take on the Sacramento Kings (1-2) at Pepsi Center. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 227 points and it can be seen on NBC Sports – California at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday, October 23, 2018.
Sacramento Kings vs. Denver Nuggets ATS Odds
Both teams covered in their last matchup. The Nuggets (4.5-point underdogs) defeated the Golden State Warriors 100-98, while the Kings (10.5-point underdog) beat the Oklahoma City Thunder 131-120. The Denver game finished 32.5 points under the projected point total of 230.5, while the Sacramento game went 28.5 points over the projected point total of 222.5.
The Kings had a better free throw rate (0.231 vs. 0.183) and had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.604 vs. 0.486). The Nuggets, on the other hand, had a much better turnover percentage (7.1 vs. 16.7) and had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (27.7 vs. 15.0). Denver was lifted by Nikola Jokic, who recorded 23 points, 11 rebounds and six assists. Meanwhile, De’Aaron Fox played a key role for Sacramento with 22 points and 10 assists.
The high-powered offense of Denver will face off against the mid-tier defense of Sacramento. Since the 2017-18 season, the Nuggets rank sixth in offensive efficiency, while the Kings are 28th in defensive efficiency. The Nuggets figure to have the edge on that end of the court. ,
Since last season, the Kings have had records of 28-57 straight up (SU) and 42-40-3 against the spread (ATS). Games featuring Sacramento have had a slight tendency to go under the O/U total since last season (54.1 percent).
The Nuggets, on the other hand, are 49-36 SU and 48-35-2 ATS since last season. Over that same time frame, games featuring Denver have finished over the projected point total 58.8 percent of the time.
The Nuggets edged out the Kings in this series last year, winning three out of four games. In the last contest, Denver won 130-104. The Nuggets’ 20.5 offensive rebounding percentage was their largest advantage over the Kings, who had a mark of 14.0.
Sacramento Kings vs. Denver Nuggets Odds Pick
NBA Pick: SU Winner – Nuggets, ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Over
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
- The Nuggets average 13.7 fast break points per game, which ranks eighth in the league. The Kings rank 18th in fast break points allowed per game (12.6).
- Denver ranks third in second chance points per game (14.0) while Sacramento ranks 25th (11.2).
- The Nuggets rank fourth in assists per game (25.0) while the Kings rank 25th (21.6).
- Sacramento ranks 12th in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.8) while Denver ranks 29th (18.5).
- Denver ranks fifth in points in the paint per game (49.0) while Sacramento ranks 15th (44.3).
- The Nuggets rank sixth in rebounds per game (44.8) while the Kings rank 28th (40.9).
- The Nuggets rank 12th in blocks per game (5.0) while the Kings rank 25th (4.1).
- Sacramento averages 7.9 steals per game, which ranks 11th in the NBA. Denver ranks 19th in steals allowed per game (7.8).
- Denver ranks eighth in three pointers attempted per game (30.8) while Sacramento ranks 29th in three pointers allowed per game (31.6).
- Denver is 18-2 when they allow below 100 points, while Sacramento is 18-7.
- When reaching 100 points, the Nuggets are 42-26 and the Kings are 18-23.
