The Sacramento Kings (33-33) will travel to TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics (41-27). Action starts at 7:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 14, 2019.
Sacramento Kings at Boston Celtics ATS Odds
Both teams fell in their last game. The Celtics (1.5-point favorites) were defeated by the Los Angeles Clippers, 140-115, while the Kings (2.5-point underdogs) fell to the Washington Wizards, 121-115. The Boston game finished 27.5 points over the projected point total of 227.5, while the Sacramento game went 3 points under the projected point total of 239.
Sacramento held Washington to an offensive rebounding percentage of 15.6 (below their season average of 20.7) while Boston forced Los Angeles into a turnover percentage of 16.4 (above their season average of 12.2). Kyrie Irving was a key piece for Boston with 18 points and 11 assists. Meanwhile, Sacramento was lifted by Nemanja Bjelica, who recorded 15 points and 12 rebounds.
In their first matchup this year, Al Horford led the Celtics to a 111-109 win. He notched a double-double with 21 points and 11 rebounds. The two teams combined to score 220 points, which was under the projected point total of 226, and Boston covered as a 2-point favorite. Boston did a terrific job of making free throws (18-21; 85.7 percent). Sacramento, meanwhile, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (15.8 vs. 8.1).
Of the Kings’ 66 games, 34 have finished under the total. Sacramento heads into the contest with records of 33-33 straight up (SU) and 38-27-1 against the spread (ATS).
Unlike Sacramento, games featuring the Celtics have a slight tendency to finish over the total (54.4 percent). Further, Boston owns records of 41-27 SU and 33-33-2 ATS.
Based on historical performance heading into this one, ball protection could play an integral role in this contest. Boston commits the fourth-fewest miscues in the NBA (turnover percentage of 12.5 percent), while the disruptive defense of Sacramento forces the fifth-most (opponents’ turnover percentage of 14.8 percent).
Kings at Celtics Free Pick
Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Celtics, ATS Winner – Celtics, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Celtics rank 20th in rebounds allowed per game (45.6) while the Kings rank last (48.6).
- Boston ranks sixth in three pointers attempted per game (35.0) while Sacramento ranks 29th in three pointers allowed per game (34.4).
- The Celtics rank second in blocks allowed per game (3.9) while the Kings rank 18th (5.2).
- Boston ranks 14th in second chance points allowed per game (13.2) while Sacramento ranks 27th (14.6).
- Boston ranks fourth in points off turnovers per game (18.7) while Sacramento ranks 15th in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.8).
- The Celtics rank fifth in points allowed in the paint per game (45.6) while the Kings rank 27th (51.2).
- The Celtics rank seventh in fast break points per game (16.2) while the Kings rank 20th in fast break points allowed per game (14.5).
- Boston ranks fifth in assists allowed per game (23.0) while Sacramento ranks 14th (24.5).
- Boston ranks second in steals allowed per game (6.9) while Sacramento ranks 20th (7.8).
- In games where they allow below 100 points, Sacramento is 10-0 and Boston is 15-4.
- The Celtics are 41-20 when they reach 100 points, while the Kings are 31-29.
- Sacramento is 16-16 ATS on the road, while Boston is 20-14 ATS at home.
- In 32 road games, the Kings have 18 overs and 14 unders.
- In 34 home games, the Celtics have 20 overs and 14 unders.
Bettings Trends:
- The Celtics are 2-2-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Kings are 1-3-1.
- In their last five games, Boston has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Sacramento has 5 unders.
- During their last five games, the Celtics have scored an average of 115.6 points per game (3.3 above their season average) and allowed an average of 113.2 points per game (6.1 above their season average).
- The Kings have scored an equal number of points as their opponents. For the season, Sacramento has lost by an average of 1.2 points.
