Purdue Boilermakers vs. Tennessee Volunteers ATS Prediction 03/28/19

Posts AdminArticles, Basketball, College Basketball

The No. 2 Tennessee Volunteers (31-5) will be 1.5-point favorites in the Sweet Sixteen at KFC Yum! Center when they take on the No. 3 Purdue Boilermakers (25-9). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 146.5 points and it begins at 7:29 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 28, 2019.

Purdue Boilermakers vs. Tennessee Volunteers ATS Odds

The Boilermakers won big over the No. 6 Villanova Wildcats in the Second Round, 87-61, comfortably covering as 3-point favorites. The Volunteers, on the other hand, topped the No. 10 Iowa Hawkeyes,83-77, but were not able to cover as 8-point favorites. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Purdue game finished 10 points over the projected point total of 138, while the Tennessee game finished 4 points over the projected point total of 156.

Purdue played a nearly perfect game. They had a ridiculous offensive rebounding percentage of 44.4 (above their season average of 34.7) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.685 (above their season average of 0.526). Villanova was 23.1 and 0.440, respectively, for those same stats. The Volunteers, meanwhile, had a ridiculous offensive rebounding percentage of 38.2 (above their season average of 31.6) and held the Hawkeyes to an effective field goal percentage of 0.449 (below their season average of 0.529). Tennessee was led by Grant Williams, who finished with 19 points, seven rebounds and five assists. Meanwhile, Carsen Edwards played well for Purdue, finishing with 42 points and six rebounds.

Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when setting the total of Boilermakers games, with 18 overs compared to 16 unders. Purdue heads into the contest with records of 25-9 straight up (SU) and 19-15 against the spread (ATS).

Games involving the Volunteers have typically finished over the total (60.0 percent). Further, Tennessee is 31-5 SU and 17-17-1 ATS.

It might turn into a high-scoring affair as a pair of the nation’s premier offenses battle. Tennessee currently ranks sixth with 117.3 points per 100 possessions and Purdue is 10th (115.3). Additionally, the Boilermakers rank 21st in offensive rebounding percentage (34.9 percent), while the Volunteers rank 269th in defensive rebounding percentage (69.6 percent).

Purdue Boilermakers vs. Tennessee Volunteers Free Pick

Basketball Tip: SU Winner – Purdue, ATS Winner – Purdue, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • Purdue ranks 29th in three pointers attempted per game (26.9) while Tennessee ranks 280th (19.2).
  • The Boilermakers rank 30th in rebounds allowed per game (31.6) while the Volunteers rank 119th (34.3).
  • Tennessee averages 17.9 assists per game, which ranks fifth in the nation. Purdue ranks 93rd in assists allowed per game (12.2).
  • The Volunteers rank fifth in blocks per game (5.4) while the Boilermakers rank 186th in blocks allowed per game (3.7).
  • Purdue ranks 19th in steals allowed per game (4.9) while Tennessee ranks 139th (6.3).

Bettings Trends:

  • The Boilermakers are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Volunteers are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Purdue has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Tennessee has 5 overs.
  • During their last five games, the Boilermakers have scored an average of 72.0 points per game (4.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 62.8 points per game (3.3 below their season average).
  • The Volunteers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 0.8, down from 12.8 for the season.