Purdue Boilermakers at Michigan State Spartans ATS Prediction 01/08/19

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It figures to be a high-scoring affair as the Purdue Boilermakers (9-5, 2-1 Big 10) head to eighth-ranked Michigan State to play the Spartans (13-2, 4-0 Big 10). Action begins at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 8, 2019, and can be seen on ESPN2.

Purdue Boilermakers at Michigan State Spartans Betting Odds

In their last matchup, the Spartans fell to the top-ranked Kansas Jayhawks, 92-87, while the Boilermakers won big over the Fairfield Stags, 90-57.

Purdue played a nearly perfect game. They had a free throw rate of 0.203 and an offensive rebounding percentage of 40.0. For those same stats, Fairfield had marks of 0.083 and 25.0, respectively. Michigan State, on the other hand, had a better free throw rate (0.390 vs. 0.290). Kenny Goins had a solid performance for Michigan State, recording 17 points and 11 rebounds. Carsen Edwards, meanwhile played a pivotal role for Purdue with 30 points.

The Spartans won the sole contest between these two teams last season, 68-65. Michigan State had a better effective field goal percentage (0.533 vs. 0.453). Purdue, on the other hand, had a better turnover percentage (4.2 vs. 8.7). This is the first time these teams will battle this year.

The Boilermakers’ Ryan Cline has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 0 points per game. Meanwhile, Cassius Winston has averaged 0 points during that same time frame for the Spartans.

It might turn into a high-scoring affair as a pair of the nation’s best offenses battle. Michigan State ranks fourth with 120.5 points per 100 possessions and Purdue is 18th (116.8). The Boilermakers should be expected to protect the ball well. They rank 50th at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 16.6 percent). Conversely, the Spartans force the first-fewest turnovers in the NCAA (opponents’ turnover percentage of 14.3 percent).

Purdue at Michigan State ATS Pick

Free Pick: SU Winner – Michigan State, ATS Winner – Purdue, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • Michigan State ranks fourth in rebounds per game (43.8) while Purdue ranks 146th (36.0).
  • The Boilermakers rank 12th in steals allowed per game (4.7) while the Spartans rank 89th (6.3).
  • Michigan State ranks 10th in blocks per game (5.6) while Purdue ranks 74th (3.7).
  • The Boilermakers rank 15th in three pointers attempted per game (28.8) while the Spartans rank 152nd (22.1).
  • Michigan State ranks second in assists per game (21.3) while Purdue ranks 97th in assists allowed per game (12.6).

Bettings Trends:

  • During their last five games, the Boilermakers have scored an average of 85.6 points per game (6.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 69.8 points per game (1.0 above their season average).
  • The Spartans’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 25.6, up from 19.0 for the season.