Portland Trail Blazers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Free Prediction

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The Oklahoma City Thunder (44-30) and the Portland Trail Blazers (44-28) will try to extend their respective winning streaks when they battle at Chesapeake Energy Arena. The Thunder are 3-point favorites and are riding a five-game home winning streak, while the Trail Blazers have won five consecutive road games. The games Over/Under (O/U) opened at 214.5 points and it can be seen on Fox SportsNet Oklahoma at 7 p.m. ET on Sunday, March 25, 2018.

Portland Trail Blazers at Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Odds

In their last outing, the Thunder were victorious over the Miami Heat, 105-99, while the Trail Blazers lost to the Boston Celtics, 105-100.

Oklahoma City played a nearly flawless game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 26.7 (below their season average of 27.7) and a free throw rate of 0.298 (above their season average of 0.190). Miami was 17.0 and 0.207, respectively, for those same stats. Portland, on the other hand, had a much better turnover percentage (7.6 vs. 12.8). Russell Westbrook had a good outing for Oklahoma City, finishing with 29 points, 13 rebounds and eight assists. Meanwhile, CJ McCollum fueled Portland with 26 points and seven rebounds.

The battle on the backboards could prove decisive, pitting strength against strength. The Thunder rank first in offensive rebounding percentage (27.7 percent), while Portland ranks fifth in defensive rebounding percentage (79.3 percent).

Of the Trail Blazers 72 games, 40 have finished under the total. Portland heads into the game with records of 44-28 straight up (SU) and 39-26-7 against the spread (ATS).

Thunder games also have a slight tendency to finish under the projected point total (54.1 percent). Further, Oklahoma City is 44-30 SU and 30-42-2 ATS.

Al-Farouq Aminu has taken his game to another level as of late for Portland, averaging 12.8 points, 9.2 rebounds, 3.2 assists and 1.4 steals over the last five games.

In their three matchups this season, the Trail Blazers have won all three. The two teams combined to put up 208 points in their most recent game, which was under the projected point total of 215.5. Portland won 108-100, covering as a 5-point favorite. Portland won the rebounding battle. The Trail Blazers had 14 offensive rebounds and 47 total rebounds, while the Thunder had nine and 40, respectively. McCollum was a standout player in the game, producing 28 points, eight rebounds and six assists.

Portland Trail Blazers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Free Pick

Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Thunder, ATS Winner – Trail Blazers, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Trail Blazers rank 20th in three pointers attempted per game (27.7) while the Thunder rank 24th in three pointers allowed per game (30.6).
  • Oklahoma City ranks first in points off turnovers per game (18.7) while Portland ranks last (14.2).
  • The Thunder rank seventh in blocks per game (5.2) while the Trail Blazers rank 21st in blocks allowed per game (5.1).
  • Portland ranks second in assists allowed per game (20.2) while Oklahoma City ranks 15th (23.3).
  • Oklahoma City ranks first in second chance points per game (15.1) while Portland ranks ninth (13.3).
  • The Thunder rank first in steals per game (8.9) while the Trail Blazers rank 28th (6.8).
  • The Thunder rank fourth in rebounds allowed per game (41.8) while the Trail Blazers rank 14th (42.6).
  • Portland ranks fourth in points allowed in the paint per game (41.8) while Oklahoma City ranks eighth (43.1).
  • Oklahoma City ranks fourth in fast break points per game (14.9) while Portland ranks last (7.9).
  • Oklahoma City is 21-5 when they allow under 100 points, while Portland is 23-5.
  • In games where they score more than 100 points, the Thunder are 40-15 and the Trail Blazers are 39-15.
  • Oklahoma City is 15-20-2 ATS at home, while Portland is 19-12-3 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone under in 21 of the Thunders 37 home games, while 20 of the Trail Blazers 34 road games have gone under.

Betting Trends:

  • In their last five games, Portland and Oklahoma City are both 3-1-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • During their last five games, the Trail Blazers have scored an average of 109.2 points per game (3.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 104.2 points per game (1.0 above their season average).
  • The Thunders average margin of victory in their last five games has been 6.4, up from 3.3 for the season.