Portland Trail Blazers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder ATS Prediction 02/11/19

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A five-game home winning streak hangs in the balance for the Oklahoma City Thunder (36-19), who will be 7-point favorites when they meet the Portland Trail Blazers (33-22) at Chesapeake Energy Arena. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 231 points and it is scheduled to start at 8 p.m. ET on Monday, February 11, 2019.

Portland Trail Blazers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Odds

In their last outing, the Thunder (2.5-point underdogs) covered in a 117-112 victory over the Houston Rockets. The Trail Blazers fell to the Dallas Mavericks, 102-101, but did cover as 6-point underdogs. The Oklahoma City game finished 9 points under the projected point total of 238, while the Portland game went 23 points under the projected point total of 226.

The Thunder held the Rockets to an offensive rebounding percentage of 14.6 (below their season average of 24.1) and had a free throw rate of 0.270 (above their season average of 0.196). Portland, on the other hand, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (30.0 vs. 23.4). Oklahoma City was led by Paul George, who put up 45 points and 11 rebounds. Meanwhile, Damian Lillard led the way for Portland, contributing 30 points and five assists.

The Thunder have won both contests against the Trail Blazers this year. The two teams combined for 237 points in their most recent game, which was over the projected point total of 224. Oklahoma City won 123-114, covering as a 4-point favorite. The Thunder’s turnover percentage was their largest advantage over the Trail Blazers. Oklahoma City had a rate of 9.1, while Portland posted a mark of 15.4. Despite the loss, Lillard was a top performer in the game with 34 points, eight assists and five rebounds.

Trail Blazers games have gone over the total 51.9 percent of the time. Portland comes into the game with records of 33-22 straight up (SU) and 30-24 against the spread (ATS).

A little over half of Thunder games have also finished over the projected point total. Further, Oklahoma City owns records of 36-19 SU and 32-23 ATS.

The Trail Blazers’ CJ McCollum has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 28 points,6.0 rebounds,3.4 assists,1.4 steals per game. Meanwhile, George has averaged 37 points,6.0 rebounds,4.0 assists,2.6 steals during that same time frame for the Thunder.

It will be a battle of contrasting tempos as the fast-breaking Thunder will look to push the more grind-it-out Trail Blazers. The Thunder rank first in possessions per game while the Trail Blazers are 16th.

Portland Trail Blazers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Odds Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Thunder, ATS Winner – Thunder, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Thunder average 5.2 blocks per game, which ranks 15th in the league. The Trail Blazers rank 19th in blocks allowed per game (5.3).
  • Oklahoma City ranks first in points off turnovers per game (20.7) while Portland ranks 27th (14.9).
  • The Thunder rank fourth in fast break points per game (18.4) while the Trail Blazers rank 22nd (11.2).
  • Portland averages 47.6 rebounds per game, which ranks third in the league. Oklahoma City ranks 19th in rebounds allowed per game (45.2).
  • Portland ranks fifth in assists allowed per game (23.0) while Oklahoma City ranks 19th (25.0).
  • The Thunder rank first in steals per game (10.3) while the Trail Blazers rank 26th (6.7).
  • The Thunder rank fifth in points in the paint per game (52.7) while the Trail Blazers rank 19th (47.6).
  • Oklahoma City averages 14.7 second chance points per game, which ranks third in the league. Portland ranks 21st in second chance points allowed per game (13.9).
  • When allowing below 100 points, Portland is 8-1 and Oklahoma City is 7-0.
  • The Thunder are 34-13 when they score more than 100 points, while the Trail Blazers are 32-17.
  • Portland is 10-13 ATS on the road, while Oklahoma City is 15-11 ATS at home.
  • The Trail Blazers have 12 overs and 11 unders in 23 road games.
  • The Thunder have 16 overs, 9 unders and 1 push in 26 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Portland and Oklahoma City are both 4-1 ATS.
  • The Trail Blazers have 5 overs over their last five games, while the Thunder have 3 overs and 2 unders
  • During their last five games, the Trail Blazers have scored an average of 117.6 points per game (4.5 above their season average) and allowed an average of 110.8 points per game (0.6 above their season average).
  • The Thunder’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 9.6, up from 5.4 for the season.