Portland Trail Blazers vs. Milwaukee Bucks ATS Prediction 11/21/19

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The Milwaukee Bucks (11-3) welcome the Portland Trail Blazers (5-10) to Fiserv Forum. The Bucks will try to prolong their five-game winning streak. Action gets underway at 8 p.m. ET on Thursday, November 21, 2019, and can be seen on TNT.

Portland Trail Blazers at Milwaukee Bucks ATS Odds

Neither team was able to cover in their last matchup. The Bucks (8.5-point favorites) beat the Atlanta Hawks, 135-127, while the Trail Blazers (3-point underdogs) fell to the New Orleans Pelicans, 115-104. The Milwaukee game went 31.5 points over the projected point total of 230.5, while the Portland game went 12.5 points under the projected point total of 231.5.

The Bucks had a fantastic effective field goal percentage of 0.626 (above their season average of 0.546) and had a free throw rate of 0.299 (above their season average of 0.209). Portland, meanwhile, made 16 of their 29 three pointers (55.2 percent). Milwaukee received a boost from Giannis Antetokounmpo, who recorded 33 points and 11 rebounds. Meanwhile, CJ McCollum had a good game for Portland, recording 22 points and five assists.

This was a highly competitive series last year. Each won one of the two games played against each other last season. The Bucks won the last matchup 143-100. The Bucks’ 30.2 offensive rebounding percentage was their largest strength over the Trail Blazers, who had a rate of 17.9. This is the first time these teams will battle this year.

Of the Trail Blazers’ 15 games, eight have finished over the total. Portland holds records of 5-10 straight up (SU) and 6-8-1 against the spread (ATS).

A little over half of Bucks games have finished over the O/U total. Further, Milwaukee is 11-3 SU and 7-6 ATS.

The Trail Blazers’ McCollum has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 25 points,6.0 rebounds,3.8 assists,1.2 steals per game. Meanwhile, Eric Bledsoe has averaged 19 points,6.4 assists during that same time frame for the Bucks.

Milwaukee could have their way on defense as they face off against one of the league’s worst offenses. The Bucks currently rank fourth in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.488), while Portland is 23rd in effective field goal percentage (0.506).

Portland Trail Blazers at Milwaukee Bucks Free Pick

NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Bucks, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Bucks rank 16th in assists per game (24.0) while the Trail Blazers rank 29th (18.7).
  • Milwaukee averages 51.7 rebounds per game, which ranks first in the NBA. Portland ranks last in rebounds allowed per game (49.2).
  • The Bucks rank fifth in points in the paint per game (51.6) while the Trail Blazers rank 25th (42.7).
  • Milwaukee ranks 11th in points off turnovers per game (18.9) while Portland ranks last (14.1).
  • Milwaukee averages 18.1 fast break points per game, which ranks second in the league. Portland ranks 15th in fast break points allowed per game (13.7).
  • The Bucks rank third in second chance points allowed per game (10.7) while the Trail Blazers rank 28th (16.3).
  • The Trail Blazers rank 12th in three pointers allowed per game (32.7) while the Bucks rank 28th (38.5).
  • Milwaukee ranks 15th in steals per game (7.6) while Portland ranks 26th (5.9).
  • Milwaukee ranks second in blocks allowed per game (3.8) while Portland ranks 26th (6.5).
  • Portland is 1-0 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Milwaukee is 2-0.
  • The Trail Blazers are 5-9 when they score more than 100 points, while the Bucks are 11-3.
  • Portland is 5-4-1 ATS on the road, while Milwaukee is 2-2 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone over in 3 of the Bucks’ 4 home games, while 5 of the Trail Blazers’ 10 road games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Bucks are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Trail Blazers are 1-4.
  • In their last five games, Milwaukee has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Portland has 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • During their last five games, the Bucks have scored an average of 119.4 points per game (0.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 109.0 points per game (1.3 below their season average).
  • The Trail Blazers’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 9.2, up from 3.4 for the season.