The Denver Nuggets (3-3) will be 5.5-point favorites at home in game seven of the Western Conference Semifinals when they clash with the Portland Trail Blazers (3-3). Winner advances to the Western Conference Finals. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 212.5 points and it starts at 3:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, May 12, 2019.
Portland Trail Blazers at Denver Nuggets ATS Odds
In game six, McCollum led the Trail Blazers to a 119-108 victory. He recorded 30 points and six rebounds. Portland covered as a 4-point favorite and the two teams combined to score 227 points, which was over the projected point total of 213. Portland was lights out from beyond the arc (15-33; 45.5 percent). Denver, on the other hand, had a better turnover percentage (5.7 vs. 8.1).
Games featuring the Trail Blazers have gone over the total 53.8 percent of the time. Portland comes into the contest with records of 60-33 straight up (SU) and 50-43 against the spread (ATS).
In opposition of Portland, Nuggets games have finished under the projected point total 53.7 percent of the time. Further, Denver owns records of 61-34 SU and 49-46 ATS.
The Trail Blazers’ CJ McCollum has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 24 points,5.4 rebounds,3.4 assists per game. Meanwhile, Nikola Jokic has averaged 26 points,14.4 rebounds,8.8 assists,1.4 steals during that same time frame for the Nuggets.
Denver figures to have the advantage on the offensive side of the ball. The Nuggets rank seventh in offensive efficiency, while the Trail Blazers rank 17th in defensive efficiency.
Portland Trail Blazers at Denver Nuggets ATS Pick
Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Nuggets, ATS Winner – Trail Blazers, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- Denver ranks third in assists per game (27.0) while Portland ranks 26th (22.5).
- The Nuggets rank fifth in fast break points allowed per game (11.9) while the Trail Blazers rank 15th (13.9).
- Portland ranks third in three pointers allowed per game (29.9) while Denver ranks 10th (31.1).
- Portland ranks fourth in rebounds per game (47.7) while Denver ranks seventh (46.5).
- The Nuggets average 15.7 second chance points per game, which ranks first in the NBA. The Trail Blazers rank 21st in second chance points allowed per game (14.0).
- The Nuggets rank second in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.2) while the Trail Blazers rank ninth (15.2).
- Denver ranks fourth in points in the paint per game (51.9) while Portland ranks 15th (48.9).
- When allowing less than 100 points, Portland is 18-2 and Denver is 28-3.
- In games where they score above 100 points, the Trail Blazers are 57-26 and the Nuggets are 56-24.
- Portland is 23-23 ATS on the road, while Denver is 29-19 ATS at home.
- The Trail Blazers have 23 unders, 22 overs and 1 push in 46 road games.
- In 48 home games, the Nuggets have 26 unders and 22 overs.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Portland and Denver have both had 4 overs and 1 under.
- The Nuggets are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Trail Blazers are 2-3.
- The Nuggets’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 1.8, down from 3.7 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Trail Blazers have scored an average of 113.2 points per game (1.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 115.0 points per game (4.5 above their season average).
