Portland Trail Blazers at Denver Nuggets Betting Prediction 05/01/19

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The Portland Trail Blazers (0-1) will travel to Pepsi Center to take on the Denver Nuggets (1-0) in game two of the Western Conference Semifinals. The Nuggets opened as 3.5-point favorites. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 218 points and action gets underway at 9 p.m. ET on Wednesday, May 1, 2019.

Portland Trail Blazers at Denver Nuggets ATS Odds

In game one, Jokic led the Nuggets to a 121-113 win. He produced 37 points, nine rebounds and six assists. Denver covered as a 4-point favorite and the two teams combined to score 234 points, which was well over the projected point total of 215. The Nuggets’ turnover percentage was their largest strength over the Trail Blazers. Denver had a rate of 11.3, while Portland posted a mark of 16.5.

Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when setting the O/U total of Trail Blazers games, with 46 overs compared to 41 unders. Portland comes into the contest with records of 57-31 straight up (SU) and 48-40 against the spread (ATS).

Of the Nuggets’ 90 games, 50 have finished under the projected point total. Moreover, Denver owns records of 59-31 SU and 46-44 ATS.

Portland could have a difficult time creating turnovers. Denver ranks sixth in the league at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.5 percent), while Portland forces the second-fewest turnovers (11.9 percent).

Portland Trail Blazers at Denver Nuggets ATS Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Trail Blazers, ATS Winner – Trail Blazers, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • Denver ranks second in assists per game (27.2) while Portland ranks 25th (22.7).
  • The Nuggets rank fourth in points in the paint per game (51.9) while the Trail Blazers rank 15th (49.1).
  • Portland ranks third in three pointers allowed per game (29.9) while Denver ranks 10th (31.0).
  • Portland ranks fourth in rebounds per game (47.8) while Denver ranks 11th (46.1).
  • The Nuggets average 15.5 second chance points per game, which ranks first in the NBA. The Trail Blazers rank 18th in second chance points allowed per game (13.7).
  • The Nuggets rank second in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.4) while the Trail Blazers rank ninth (15.3).
  • Denver ranks fifth in fast break points allowed per game (12.0) while Portland ranks 18th (14.1).
  • When allowing under 100 points, Portland is 17-2 and Denver is 27-2.
  • When reaching 100 points, the Nuggets are 54-22 and the Trail Blazers are 55-25.
  • Portland is 22-22 ATS on the road, while Denver is 28-18 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone under in 25 of the Nuggets’ 46 home games, while 22 of the Trail Blazers’ 44 road games have gone under.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Portland and Denver have both had 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • The Nuggets are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Trail Blazers are 2-3.
  • The Nuggets’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 5.4, up from 3.8 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Trail Blazers have scored an average of 112.8 points per game (1.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 109.6 points per game (0.7 below their season average).