Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets Free Pick

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The Pittsburgh Pirates will be taking on the New York Mets at Citi Field. This NL showdown will get going at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to SportsNet New York to catch the action.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets Odds

Oddsmakers have put equal moneyline odds (-105) on both of these teams. Bettors can gamble on the games total with odds listed at -120 for over 8 runs and even money (+100) for under 8. The games most recent runline odds stand at +140 for taking the Pirates -1.5 runs and -160 for the Mets +1.5.

The Pirates have gone 37-42 SU this year and are 34-44 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 6.8 units for moneyline bettors and 12.9 units ATS. The Mets, on the other hand, are 32-45 SU and 32-43 ATS. They’ve lost 16.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 16.9 units ATS.

Mets games have a 33-40-2 over/under record so far in 2018. Pirates games have gone over 37 times, gone under 35 times and pushed on six instances.

Ivan Nova will get the nod for the visiting Pirates. The right-handed Nova (4-5, 3.98 ERA) has recorded 66 punchouts in 81.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Mets this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Mets will put the ball in the right hand of Zack Wheeler (2-6, 4.85 ERA), who’s got 79 strikeouts and 31 walks this season as well as a 1.37 WHIP. Wheeler only made one start against the Pirates in 2017 (0-0, 4.50 ERA and five strikeouts across six innings).

Pittsburgh’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.23 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 7.73 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.20, along with a WHIP of 1.26 and a K-per-9 of 9.57.

The Pirates offense has slashed .247/.320/.400 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game this year, including 3.0 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 2.4 per game over the teams last five outings (1-4 SU).

Outfielders Corey Dickerson and Starling Marte continue to lead Pittsburgh’s offense. Dickerson is slashing .299/.336/.444 with five home runs, 32 RBIs and 32 runs scored, while Marte is hitting .267 with nine homers, 34 RBIs, 41 runs and 16 stolen bases.

For the home team, New York’s pitching staff has given up 4.6 runs per game overall in 2018. The teams starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.01, a WHIP of 1.28 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.4. The bullpen has a 4.71 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.7 K/9.

The New York hitters are putting up 4.0 runs per outing, including 5.7 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over their last five. The teams hit .227/.300/.376 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

The Mets offense has been led by second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario. Cabrera is hitting .278/.322/.475 with 13 home runs, 43 RBIs and 36 runs scored, and Rosario’s line is .243/.269/.358 with four homers, 21 RBIs and 28 runs scored.

The Pirates have lost 2.5 units and are 28-33 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 26 of those games, as opposed to 29 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 10.7 units and are 21-31 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 23 of those games, compared to 27 that went under the total.

Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Mets MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has cashed in three of Pittsburgh’s last seven outings.
  • New York has recorded 25.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 20.4 over its last five.
  • The Pirates have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit 13 over their last 10.