The Pittsburgh Pirates will face their divisional rival Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will be airing the action. The game is scheduled to get underway at 2:10 p.m. ET.
Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Pittsburgh (+125) as the underdog to Milwaukee (-135). The total is sitting at 8.5 runs and bettors can take the over for -120 and the under for even money (+100). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at -170 for the Pirates +1.5 runs and +150 for the Brewers -1.5.
The Pirates are 64-66 SU and are 62-67 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 3.9 units for moneyline gamblers and 9.3 units ATS. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 72-59 SU and 66-64 ATS. The team’s gained 10.2 units for moneyline bettors while earning 3.3 units ATS.
Milwaukee games have an over/under record of 61-65-4 in 2018. Pirates games have gone under 62 times, gone over 59 times and pushed on eight occasions.
Right-hander Chris Archer is projected to start for the visiting Pirates. Archer (4-6, 4.41 ERA) has racked up 121 punchouts in 114.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 1.50 ERA and seven strikeouts across six innings).
The Brewers are putting the ball in the hands of righty Chase Anderson (8-7, 3.92 ERA), who has 110 strikeouts and 50 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.16. Anderson is 0-2 with seven strikeouts and a 5.91 ERA across two starts against Pittsburgh this year.
Pittsburgh’s pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.08 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 7.24 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.05, along with a K/9 of 9.59.
Pirates hitters have slashed .254/.322/.410 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Outfielders Corey Dickerson and Starling Marte have led Pittsburgh’s hitters. Dickerson is slashing .301/.331/.470 with 11 home runs, 46 RBIs and 53 runs scored. Marte (.274/.321/.458) has produced 17 homers, 58 RBIs, 65 runs and 29 steals.
In the other dugout, Milwaukee’s pitching staff has allowed 4.2 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have a 3.93 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.82 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 10.1 K/9. In 54 divisional games, Brewers starters have an ERA of 3.58 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.44.
The Milwaukee hitters have produced 4.4 runs per contest, including 3.3 per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over their last five. The team has hit .297/.360/.472 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Brewers’ hitters have been led by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain. Yelich is hitting .311/.373/.537 with 23 home runs, 67 RBIs, 89 runs and 14 stolen bases, and Cain’s line is .308/.400/.425 with nine homers, 32 RBIs, 66 runs and 24 stolen bases.
The Pirates have gained 3.9 units and are 45-45 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 36 of those games, compared to 47 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 14.7 units and are 52-46 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 41 of those games, compared to 53 that went under.
Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER
- The under has cashed in four of Milwaukee’s last seven games.
- Milwaukee has posted 23.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 28.0 over its last five.
- The Pirates have hit four home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit 14 over their last 10.