The Pittsburgh Pirates will head west to take on their NL Central foe Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park. The game will start at 8:10 p.m. ET and the action will be televised on ATPT and FSWI.
Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Milwaukee (-145) as the favorite over Pittsburgh (+135). If you think this game’s total will go under 9.5 runs, bookmakers are currently offering +105 odds. Taking the over will return -125 odds. You can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at -160 for the Pirates +1.5 runs and +140 for the Brewers -1.5 runs.
The Brewers are 43-38 straight up (SU) and 37-43 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 3.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 9.8 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread only once in its last seven games and the total went over in five of those seven. The Pirates are 38-41 SU and have gone 39-39 against the spread. In total, the team’s gained 1.9 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, but have lost 7.3 units ATS. Pittsburgh is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in three of those seven.
Brewers games have an over/under record of 36-41-3 so far in 2019. Pittsburgh has been a great over bet with a total record of 45-29-4.
Chris Archer is getting the start for the visiting Pirates. The right-handed Archer is 3-6 with a 5.56 ERA and 74 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with seven strikeouts and a 5.14 ERA against Milwaukee this year.
The Brewers are putting the ball in the right hand of Jhoulys Chacin (3-8, 5.88 ERA), who’s got 56 strikeouts and 33 walks this season as well as a 1.51 WHIP. Chacin is 0-1 with two strikeouts and a 23.63 ERA in one start against Pittsburgh this year.
As a unit, Milwaukee’s pitching staff has given up 5.0 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.06, a WHIP of 1.44 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.9. The bullpen has a 4.20 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 10.1 K/9. In 32 games against divisional opponents, Brewers starters have an ERA of 5.83 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.24.
The Milwaukee hitters are putting up 4.9 runs per outing, including 5.5 per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .233/.302/.423 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Brewers’ hitters have been led by right fielder Christian Yelich and second baseman Mike Moustakas. Yelich is slashing .335/.427/.719 with 29 home runs, 63 RBIs, 63 runs and 17 stolen bases, and the line for Moustakas stands at .279/.354/.580 with 23 homers, 49 RBIs and 50 runs.
In the visiting dugout, Pittsburgh’s pitching staff allowed 5.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.88 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 8.25 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.12, along with a WHIP of 1.39.
The Pirates offense has slashed .265/.324/.427 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 8.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
First baseman Josh Bell and outfielder Starling Marte continue to lead Pittsburgh’s offense. Bell is slashing .311/.384/.646 with 22 home runs, 70 RBIs and 61 runs scored, while Marte (.273/.318/.471) is up to 12 homers, 39 RBIs, 49 runs and 12 stolen bases.
The Pirates have gained 1.8 units and are 29-29 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 32 of those games, compared to 23 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 2.4 units and are 26-30 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 28 of those games, as opposed to 26 which went under the total.
Pirates at Brewers MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes
- Pittsburgh has logged 28 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Milwaukee has 17 XBH over its last five.
- The Pirates have a total OPS of .751 this season and an OPS of .768 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Brewers’ OPS stands at .780 overall and .779 against righties.
- The Pirates have won six of their last seven games SU.
- Pittsburgh has posted 28 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 34 over its last five.
- The Pirates have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.
