Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Free Pick

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The Pittsburgh Pirates will play the Los Angeles Dodgers at Dodger Stadium. This NL matchup starts at 10:10 p.m. ET and fans can watch it on both ATPT and SNLA.

Pittsburgh Pirates at Los Angeles Dodgers Odds

Vegas is listing Los Angeles (-220) as the favorite over Pittsburgh (+200). Bettors are able to wager on the games total with odds listed at -115 for over 7 runs and -105 for under 7. Bettors can also wager on the games runline with the current odds standing at -110 for the Pirates +1.5 runs and -110 for the Dodgers -1.5 runs.

The Pirates have gone 40-44 SU this year and are 39-44 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 5.8 units for moneyline bettors and 7.2 units ATS. The Dodgers, on the other hand, are 45-39 SU and 36-47 ATS. The team has lost 19.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 10.3 units ATS.

Dodgers games have had an over/under record of 42-39-2 thus far in 2018. Pittsburgh has an over/under record of 39-37-7.

Right-hander Ivan Nova is the probable starter for Pittsburgh. Nova is 4-5 with a 4.02 ERA and 68 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Dodgers this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 2.84 ERA and two strikeouts across six and one-third innings).

The Dodgers are putting the ball in the hands of lefty Clayton Kershaw (1-4, 2.84 ERA), who has 63 punchouts and 12 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.14. Kershaw did not record a start against the Pirates in 2017.

Pittsburgh’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.29 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 7.64 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.35, along with a WHIP of 1.28.

Pirates hitters have slashed .249/.320/.403 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.4 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the teams last five contests (3-2 SU).

Left fielder Corey Dickerson and first baseman Josh Bell continue to lead Pittsburgh’s hitters. Dickerson is hitting .304/.339/.452 with six home runs, 33 RBIs and 35 runs scored. Bell (.254/.336/.387) has produced five homers, 41 RBIs and 41 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Los Angeles pitching staff has allowed 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018. The teams starters have a 3.40 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.92 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 9.0 K/9.

The Los Angeles hitters are putting up 4.8 runs per outing, including 5.9 per game over its last 10 games and 6.0 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .283/.347/.497 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Outfielders Matt Kemp and Chris Taylor have paced the Dodgers hitters this year. Kemp is slashing .323/.359/.565 with 15 home runs, 55 RBIs and 39 runs scored, while Taylor’s line sits at .253/.337/.450 with nine homers, 32 RBIs and 49 runs.

The Pirates have lost 5.3 units and are 9-11 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 12 of those games, as opposed to eight that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Dodgers have lost 17.8 units and are 22-31 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 34 of those games, as opposed to 18 which went under the total.

Pittsburgh Pirates at Los Angeles Dodgers Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • The over has cashed in four of Los Angeles last seven games.
  • Los Angeles has recorded 24.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 25.6 over its last five.
  • The Pirates have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.