In the 2 game of their NL Central doubleheader, the Pittsburgh Pirates are set to face off against the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park. The action starts at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans can catch it on either ATPT or FSOH.
Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds Odds
Vegas has listed Cincinnati (-155) as the favorite over Pittsburgh (+145). If you think the game’s total will go under 9 runs, bookmakers are currently offering -110 odds. Picking the over will give you -110 odds. You can also bet on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at Pirates +1.5 runs (-150) and Reds -1.5 runs (+130).
The Reds are 29-22 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 24-28 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 2.6 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 4.0 units ATS. The Pirates, on the other hand, have gone 25-25 SU this year and are 27-22 against the spread. In total, the club has gained 4.7 units for moneyline gamblers and 1.4 units ATS.
Cincinnati games have an over/under record of 19-31-1 so far in 2019. Pirates games have gone over 27 times, gone under 21 times and pushed on one occasion.
Mitch Keller will get the nod for the visiting Pirates. The right-handed Keller has yet to pitch in the majors this season and Pittsburgh is hoping that he fares decently against MLB hitters.
The Reds are turning to righty Sonny Gray (1-4, 3.78 ERA), who’s got 57 strikeouts and 20 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.22. Gray is 0-2 with seven strikeouts and a 2.89 ERA across two starts against Pittsburgh this year.
As a unit, Cincinnati’s pitchers have yielded 3.7 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have a 3.62 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 10.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.56 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.9 K/9. In 22 games against NL Central opponents, Reds starters have an ERA of 4.27 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.14.
The Cincinnati offense has put up 4.3 runs per contest, including 4.2 per game against divisional foes and 6.8 per game over its last five. The team has hit .313/.387/.500 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Reds’ offense has been led by third baseman Eugenio Suarez and shortstop Jose Iglesias. Suarez is hitting .274/.347/.553 with 14 home runs, 37 RBIs and 28 runs scored, while Iglesias has put up a line of .307/.335/.422 with three homers, 17 RBIs and 17 runs.
In the visiting dugout, Pittsburgh’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.59 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 7.92 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.62, along with a K/9 of 10.00.
The Pirates offense has slashed .247/.306/.392 on its way to 3.9 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Pittsburgh’s offense has been powered by first baseman Josh Bell and outfielder Melky Cabrera, who have combined to launch 19 home runs. Bell is slashing .339/.407/.704 with 16 home runs, 47 RBIs and 38 runs scored. Cabrera is slashing .331/.367/.458 with three homers, 16 RBIs and 15 runs scored.
The Pirates have gained 6.2 units and are 19-15 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 17 of those games, compared to 16 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 0.9 units and are 20-19 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 15 of those games, compared to 23 that went under.
Pirates at Reds Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has cashed in six of Pittsburgh’s last seven contests.
- The Pirates have a total OPS of .698 this season and an OPS of .710 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Reds’ OPS sits at .701 overall and .689 against righties.
- The Pirates have dropped five of their last six games SU.
- Pittsburgh has posted 24.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 26.8 over its last five.
- Both teams have hit 14 home runs over their last 10 games.
